Politická ekonomie - Nejnovější články

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Unemployment and Labour Force Participation in South Korea: Johansen-Type Cointegration Analysis with a Fourier ApproachStati

Veli Yilanci, Onder Ozgur

Politická ekonomie 2024, 72(1):122-141 | DOI: 10.18267/j.polek.1410  

This study examines the long-run relationship between the unemployment rate and labour force participation rate in South Korea from June 1999 to January 2023. The study utilizes the traditional Johansen cointegration test and augments it with Fourier terms to control for an unknown number of breaks in the cointegration system. The empirical findings suggest a significant long-run relationship between the unemployment rate and labour force participation rate in South Korea, which provides evidence against the unemployment invariance hypothesis. The study also finds evidence of the discouraged-worker effect for males and the added-worker effect for females....

Innovation and New Technologies as Determinants of Logistics 4.0Stati

Filip Ž. Bugarčić, Veljko M. Mijušković, Slobodan Aćimović

Politická ekonomie 2024, 72(1):102-121 | DOI: 10.18267/j.polek.1422  

Continuous technological changes in various industries are necessary for achieving economic development goals. Logistics, as an integral part of the supply chain, is gaining an increasingly significant role for national economies. To encourage its further development, especially in the era of intensive digitization and the context of Industry 4.0, innovations and new technologies are seen as important drivers. The paper examines the impact of capacity for innovation and availability of latest technologies on countries' overall logistics performance, as well as individual components of international logistics. Additionally, the role of export and import...

Novel Configuration of Formulary Apportionment Using the Correlated Random Effect ApproachStati

Markéta Mlčúchová

Politická ekonomie 2024, 72(1):73-101 | DOI: 10.18267/j.polek.1411  

This paper examines various configurations of the formula under the formulary apportionment methodology from the perspective of the explanatory power of the variability in profitability of multinational companies with the aim to identify the best-performing formula based on analytical evidence of panel microeconomic data. The considered configurations of the formula are based on the novel composition of the allocation formula indicated under the BEFIT proposal, preceding the CCCTB proposal, and traditionally used formulas, at the sub-national level, in Canada and the United States. The empirical analysis uses microeconomic panel data obtained from...

Effect of Economic Policy Uncertainty on Stock Returns: Analysing the Moderating Role of Government SizeStati

Yunus Karaömer, Arif Eser Guzel

Politická ekonomie 2024, 72(1):50-72 | DOI: 10.18267/j.polek.1407  

This study investigates whether the response of stock returns to economic policy uncertainty de- pends on the level of government size in the economy. Although there is a consensus in the liter- ature that stock markets react negatively to policy-related uncertainties, the factors that determine the magnitude of this effect have been ignored. This study is the first to demonstrate that the magnitude of this effect depends on the size of the government in the economy. In the study, data for the period 1997Q1-2021Q4 pertaining to 18 countries are used. According to results of fixed-effects estimations with Driscoll-Kraay robust standard errors, economic...

Mechanism of Influence of Precarious Work on Political Participation: An Empirical Study Based on HKPSSD DataStati

Lan Yudong, Zheng Jiayu

Politická ekonomie 2024, 72(1):24-49 | DOI: 10.18267/j.polek.1402  

Precarious work is characterized by flexible and nonstandard employment relations. It affects people's economic relationships and participation in social and political movements. Based on the data of the Hong Kong Panel Study of Social Dynamics 2015, this paper explores the influence mechanism of precarious work on political participation with political attitudes as a mediator. The results show that, for precarious workers, there is a significantly lower probability of institutionalized political participation and a higher probability of non-institutionalized political participation. Also, the young precarious workers have a lower probability of institutionalized...

Winning at Home and Abroad: A Generalized Double Diamond Framework for Selected CEE CountriesStati

Irina-Marilena Ban, Valentina Ioana Cheregi

Politická ekonomie 2024, 72(1):1-23 | DOI: 10.18267/j.polek.1399  

In the lens of European integration, national competitiveness no longer depends just on national inheritance, but also on the new member states' capacity of exploiting existing advantages of EU membership. In this paper, we closely follow the effects of European Union (EU) admission on national competitiveness for eleven Central and Eastern European (CEE) countries that joined the EU after 2004. The analysis includes new specific variables that we consider potential boosters of competitiveness in this particular sample of countries, besides the proxies generally used in the literature. The results indicate that, for most of the CEE countries, EU accession...

Ekonomické vizionářství Bernarda BolzanaKonzultace

Bernard Bolzano’s Economic Visionariness

Pavel Sirůček, Jaroslav Šetek

Politická ekonomie 2023, 71(6):758-780 | DOI: 10.18267/j.polek.1396  

ThDr. Bernard Bolzano (1781-1848) was not only a mathematician and logician of European stature, a theologian, philosopher, teacher and educator, but also a critical social thinker and reformer, whose work also has distinct economic dimensions. Economic aspects play an important role in Bolzano's vision, and this does not rest on foundations that are only naively fanciful. The star- ting point of his economic considerations is the category of property. In the work of Bolzano, one can trace the vision of the welfare state, the public sector, or the germs of elements of welfare economics. It is possible to appreciate the thoughtfulness, logic and precision...

Combining Economic Growth and Financial Development in Environment-Health NexusStati

Han Dongping, Mansoor Ahmed Golo, Qamaruddin Mahar, Syed Safdar Ali Shah, Maysa Kadyrova

Politická ekonomie 2023, 71(6):730-757 | DOI: 10.18267/j.polek.1405  

This study examines the impact of monetary developments on environmental quality and economic growth. We utilize ARDL/PMG models to study twelve climatically vulnerable countries from 1996 to 2018. We find that a 1% increase in real GDP and domestic credit harms the environment by 0.827% and 0.220%, respectively. However, savings improve environmental excellence by 0.373%. A 1% environmental degradation decreases human health by 0.317%; consequently, economic growth declines by 1.102%. Good governance emerges as a key solution, with a 1% improvement in public institutions mitigating the adverse impact of real GDP on the environment by 0.777%. Redirecting...

Public Expenditure and Economic Growth: Empirical Evidence for the EUStati

Francisco J. Delgado

Politická ekonomie 2023, 71(6):709-729 | DOI: 10.18267/j.polek.1406  

The relationship between government size and economic growth is a major task in the economic literature and this paper is devoted to public expenditure. We empirically study the relationship between public expenditure and economic growth in the European Union. Our approach consists on a quantile regression for the period 2004-2019. The results show a negative and significant impact of total public expenditure on economic growth, with a higher effect in the high tail of the growth distribution. In a more detailed analysis, the study of three large public expenditures, considering the percentage of total public expense, reveals an insignificant effect...

Ceny nemovitostí a dlouhodobé úrokové sazbyStati

House prices and long-term interest rates

Jiří Pour

Politická ekonomie 2023, 71(6):668-708 | DOI: 10.18267/j.polek.1408  

The article deals with the question of whether there is an equilibrium relationship between long-term interest rates and rental yields or real estate prices. In the theoretical part, an arbitrage relationship with the real estate market is shown, emphasizing the importance of nominal interest rates in the house price-setting process. Simplified theoretical relationships are empirically tested on panel data for a number of countries in the world. The results suggest that there is a cointegrating relationship between long-term interest rates and rental yields. Rental yields tend to adjust to interest rates over a long time period dominantly through house...

Dopad odlivu důchodů z PZI na českou ekonomikuStati

Impact of FDI Income Outflows for Czech Economy

Jana Marková, Markéta Arltová

Politická ekonomie 2023, 71(6):642-667 | DOI: 10.18267/j.polek.1404  

The objective of this paper is to analyse the outflow of primary income from the Czech Republic in comparison with the inflow of foreign direct investment and to show the causes of this phenomenon and the need for active economic policy in the area of primary income outflows. We look at the impact of pension outflows in the form of dividends on our economy as well as on the external balance from the perspective of the current account of the balance of payments. Attention is also paid to comparing pension outflows with inflows from domestic FDI abroad. The intention is also to test the hypothesis of a relationship between economic growth and FDI inflows...

Užitečná kniha spojující teorii a praxiKnižní recenze

Eva Kislingerová, Tomáš Krabec

Politická ekonomie 2023, 71(5):639-641  

Ekonomická teorie inovacíKonzultace

Marek Loužek

Politická ekonomie 2023, 71(5):619-638  

The engine that drives prosperity in the modern world is the increasingly rapid emergence of useful knowledge. The aim of the paper is to present the basic ideas of the economic theory of innovation. The first part of the paper outlines the theory of endogenous growth and technological change. The second part reveals the nature of innovation. The third part presents creative destruction as part of technological development. The fourth part explains the paradox of progress: why we produce more from less. The fifth part outlines the future as an age of abundance.

Searching for Growth-conducive Institutions in Emerging Economies: A Stochastic Frontier AnalysisStati

Woon Kan Yap, Jenny Gryzelius, Andrew Tek Wei Saw

Politická ekonomie 2023, 71(5):591-618  

This study aims to identify growth-conducive institutions unique to emerging economies. For that purpose, we examine the roles of Anglo-American institutions in fostering total factor productivity growth through the improvement of technical efficiency in emerging economies. Specifically, the impacts of the liberalistic and paternalistic types of regulatory institutions are discerned. The results show that institutional qualities such as reverence for the rule of law and effective governments robustly promote total factor productivity by improving technical efficiency, while voices of citizens and political stability exhibit a symbiotic relationship,...

Distribuce platů a procentní podíly nízkopříjmových zaměstnanců ve veřejném sektoru se zaměřením na první rok pandemie covid-19Stati

Diana Bílková, Vlastimil Beran, Filip Červenka

Politická ekonomie 2023, 71(5):555-590  

The objective of this paper is to analyse the distribution of salaries in the public sector with a focus on employees receiving a salary at the level of minimum wages in the initial period of the COVID-19 pandemic. Among the methods used is the construction of salary distribution models by gender and educational attainment and the creation of predictions using exponential smoothing. The results of the analysis show the highest increase in real salaries among women with the lowest education. The results further show that the highest benefit in terms of the average real monthly salary of both men and women comes from changing the employee's educational...

Recovery of Claims Arising from Abuse of Non-insurance Social Security Benefit SystemStati

Gabriela Kukalová, Lukáš Moravec, Jana Hinke, Michaela Chladíková

Politická ekonomie 2023, 71(5):536-554  

The paper presents the volume of debts incurred as part of non-insurance social security benefits in the Czech Republic from 2016 to 2020 and defines the structure of these debts by individual types of non-insurance social security benefits, where 25% is attributable to parental allowance, followed by housing allowance (17%) and subsistence allowance (20%). The analysis deals with the number of debts broken down into paid, collected, settled by other means, written off for uncollectibility or extinction of the right. The study works with unique data obtained by summarisation from the appli-cation programmes used by the Labour Office of the Czech Republic,...

Kaldor-Hicks Improvement and Justice: To the Discussion on Normative EconomicsStati

Lukáš Augustin Máslo

Politická ekonomie 2023, 71(5):518-535  

The author's main objective is to point out the existence of the paradox of involuntary improvement and to present a solution to this paradox. The paradox of involuntary improvement appears when a subject which suffers an injustice involuntarily still gets better off by this change. The suggested solution consists in the decomposition of the total effect of the pseudo-contract into the effect of the basic contract (which is desirable for the subject) and the effect of the super-contract (which is undesirable for the subject). Such a decomposition is not arbitrary, in the author's view, but necessary because it reflects the self-contradictory nature...

Porovnanie algoritmov strojového učenia pre tvorbu predikčného modelu ceny bitcoinuStati

Comparison of Machine Learning Algorithms for Creation of a Bitcoin Price Prediction Model

Milan Cibuľa, Michal Tkáč

Politická ekonomie 2023, 71(5):496-517  

With the advancement of machine learning tools, an increasing number of algorithms are being utilized for predicting not only traditional time series data related to financial markets but also those connected to cryptocurrencies. This paper aims to compare various machine learning algorithms used for prediction, in order to identify the one with the greatest practical potential for creating a prediction model of Bitcoin’s price as an investment asset. The analysis focuses on supervised learning algorithms, taking into account the nature of the task involving long time series datasets. The paper also describes the exact process of creating and...

Insights into the Political Economy of Protection: The Case of International Trade in Agricultural GoodsStati

Rozalia Kicsi, Aurel Burciu, Simona Buta, Ionel Bostan, Pavel Stanciu

Politická ekonomie 2023, 71(4):447-472 | DOI: 10.18267/j.polek.1393  

In most cases, the rules of the game in international trade are shaped by political economy, but this interplay is more noticeable in politically sensitive sectors such as agriculture. The balance between domestic political interests and the considerations concerning international relations changes over time in response to the joint action of a variety of factors, and this is mirrored in the multilateral trade regime governing this sector. Combining a broad set of empirical evidence available at the international level, this paper aims to capture the pattern of tariff and non-tariff protectionism in the global agricultural trade. The investigation...

Electoral Consequences of Individual Politicians' Pledge FulfilmentStati

Ivana Tománková

Politická ekonomie 2023, 71(4):473-495 | DOI: 10.18267/j.polek.1395  

Voters' ability to act upon the fulfilment of election pledges matters profoundly for democratic accountability. Existing literature provides evidence of retrospective voting on pledge fulfilment at the party level. This paper investigates retrospective voting on pledges at the level of individual politicians. It estimates the effect of breaking a pledge to support anti-corruption legislation on Czech deputies' preferential votes. Since the pledge was identical for all the participating de- puties and not all deputies pledged, the data permit estimation of the effect of pledge breakage independently of the effect of voting against anti-corruption bills....

Implications of Environmental Taxation for Economic Growth and Government Expenditures in Visegrad Group countriesStati

Vera Mirović, Branimir Kalaš, Jelena Andrašić, Nada Milenković

Politická ekonomie 2023, 71(4):422-446 | DOI: 10.18267/j.polek.1391  

The paper shows an econometric approach to environmental taxes, economic growth and go- vernment expenditures in Visegrad Group (VG) countries from 1995 to 2018. The aim of this research is to explore how environmental taxes affect economic growth in Czechia, Hungary, Poland and Slovakia in the observed period. The subject of the research is to identify the relationship between total environmental tax revenues, energy tax revenues, transport tax revenues and economic growth. Also, empirical research includes the relation between environmental taxation and government expenditures to identify the character of their effects and influence on economic growth...

Territorial Allocation of Subsidies and Share of EU Structural Funds in the Czech RepublicStati

Daniel Franke, Karel Maier

Politická ekonomie 2023, 71(4):390-421 | DOI: 10.18267/j.polek.1389  

The aim of this article is to find out how the state and EU subsidies paid in the Czech Republic since 2000 have been translated into the territory. The methodology is based on obtaining a continuous time series of data on subsidies for the smallest possible territorial level and comparing the impacts on territorial cohesion, with particular reference to structurally affected regions on the one hand and the areas of Integrated Territorial Investments (ITI) and Integrated Plan for the Development of the Territory (IPRÚ) on the other. The results show that the share of subsidies has increased steadily over the period under review. Per capita funding...

Experimentální ověření platnosti Barrovy-Ricardovy ekvivalenceStati

Experimental Verification of Barro-Ricardo Equivalence Theorem

Petr Frejlich, Helena Chytilová, Vojtěch Kotrba, Pavel Kotrba

Politická ekonomie 2023, 71(4):366-389 | DOI: 10.18267/j.polek.1387  

The aim of this study is to verify the validity of Barro-Ricardo equivalence in Czech conditions with the help of experimental methods. Ricardian equivalence, in which case consumers postpone consumption under lower taxation, is a basic assumption of many studies dealing with intertemporal decision making and has important implications for government tax policy. Using nonparametric methods and panel data regression, we find that Ricardian equivalence does not hold in general. Our results suggest that taxation has a significant impact on consumption decisions. Over the life cycle, a tax cut increases consumption on average by 28.7% of the tax credit....

Effect of Economic Complexity on Unemployment in Terms of Gender: Evidence from BEM EconomiesStati

Semanur Soyyiğit, Seda Bayrakdar, Cüneyt Kiliç

Politická ekonomie 2023, 71(3):342-365 | DOI: 10.18267/j.polek.1392  

The present study aims to indicate whether structural transformation has provided enhancement for the disadvantaged parts of society in terms of gender or whether it has been implemented at the expense of social inequalities in 10 BEM (Big Emerging Market) economies (Argentina, Brazil, China, India, Indonesia, Mexico, Poland, South Africa, South Korea and Türkiye) in the period 1998–2019. The study also aims to understand the dynamics behind the connection between structural transformation and unemployment by comparing the results from each country. This paper also focuses on the effects of economic complexity on the breakdown of unemployment...

Multiscale Interdependence Between Consumer and Producer Prices in Emerging Eastern European CountriesStati

Dejan Živkov, Jasmina Đurašković, Sanja Ljubenović

Politická ekonomie 2023, 71(3):319-341 | DOI: 10.18267/j.polek.1390  

This paper investigates multiscale causal relations between consumer and producer prices in eight emerging Eastern European countries. We use wavelet coherence to measure the multiscale nexus between inflation types, and wavelet-based Bayesian quantile regression (BQR) to inspect the spillover effect. Wavelet coherence plots indicate low coherence in the short time horizon (up to two months) and higher coherence in the longer time horizons, particularly from four mounts onwards. Areas of very high coherence are found around the Global Financial Crisis and the COVID-19 pandemic. Bidirectional spillover effect exists in all the countries except Poland...

Determinants of Non-maturing Deposit Pass-through Rates in Eurozone CountriesStati

Milan Fičura, Jiří Witzany

Politická ekonomie 2023, 71(3):291-318 | DOI: 10.18267/j.polek.1388  

The non-maturing deposit (NMD) pass-through rate represents a key parameter needed in the process of managing interest rate risk of the banking book (IRRBB). NMD interest rates for retail and corporate segments are usually not directly linked to market interest rates, but depend rather on the bank’s marketing strategy, market competition, liquidity, and possibly on other factors. The ratio at which banks adjust their NMD interest rates to changes in interbank market interest rates is known as the NMD pass-through rate. The goal of this paper is to analyse the variability of NMD pass-through rates in the 19 Eurozone countries and identify...

Regional Migration in the Czech Republic: Economic Factors Are the KeyStati

Daniel Pakši, Jakub Vontroba, Milan Šimek

Politická ekonomie 2023, 71(3):267-290 | DOI: 10.18267/j.polek.1386  

This article aims to determine and evaluate factors influencing migration behaviour and decision to migrate in 14 regions of the Czech Republic in the periods 1995–2018 and 2004–2018 (after the accession to the EU). The panel data analysis conducted mostly confirms our hypotheses on the impact of the analysed factors, confirming the impact of GDP growth, number of job listings at Labour Offices, number of job applicants, employment in industry and number of finished dwellings. The exceptions are the variables for the crime rate and number of college students in the region, where we found a positive but barely statistically significant...

What Drives Inflation in High-inflation Countries? Evidence from Haiti, Sudan, Türkiye and ZambiaStati

Mehmet Mucuk, Sümeyra Evren

Politická ekonomie 2023, 71(3):238-266 | DOI: 10.18267/j.polek.1385  

The main purpose of this paper is to investigate the long-term effects of money supply, economic growth, interest rate, exchange rate, domestic credits and the oil price on inflation in Haiti, Sudan, Türkiye and Zambia, which are among the world’s highest-inflation countries according to 2021 data. For this purpose, a panel cointegration approach is applied where fully modified ordinary least squares (FMOLS) and dynamic ordinary least squares (DOLS) techniques are employed to explore the long-term effects with the help of annual data for the period 2000–2019. Also, the Dumitrescu and Hurlin panel causality test is used to determine...

Nositelé Nobelovy ceny za ekonomii pro rok 2022Z vědeckého života

Pavel Sirůček, Jaroslav Šetek

Politická ekonomie 2023, 71(2):226-237 | DOI: 10.18267/j.polek.1383  

Několik statisticko-analytických poznámek k charakteru krize 2020-2021Konzultace

Some Statistical and Analytical Notes on the Nature of the 2020–2021 Crisis

Eva Kislingerová

Politická ekonomie 2023, 71(2):199-225 | DOI: 10.18267/j.polek.1384  

The present work is based on a hypothesis that the Czech economy was showing signs of economic deceleration and a potential slump into deeper growth problems way before the outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic, i.e., at least in the year 2019. However, the present text does not intend to thoroughly confirm this hypothesis because in order to do so, a longer timeline of key economic indicators needs to be analysed. What it does present is at least a partial argumentation supporting the abovementioned hypothesis and some basic calculations. It proposes two ways towards its confirmation. The first one is a comparative analysis of individual - especially...