Politická ekonomie 2024, 72(3):501-564 | DOI: 10.18267/j.polek.1418
Effects of Trade Openness and International Financial Inflows on Africa's Productive Capacity: A Study of the Moderating Role of Governance Institutions
- Jonathan E. Ogbuabor: University of Nigeria, Department of Economics, Nsukka, Nigeria
- Ekene ThankGod Emeka: University of Nigeria, Department of Economics, Nsukka, Nigeria
- Anthony Orji: University of Nigeria, Department of Economics, Nsukka, Nigeria
- Fidelia N. Onuigbo: Enugu State University of Science and Technology, Department of Economics, Enugu, Nigeria
We investigate the effects of trade openness and international financial inflows (including foreign direct investment, remittances and foreign aid inflows) on Africa's productive capacity and how governance institutions are moderating these effects. We adopt the dynamic system GMM modelling framework and the Bun and Carree (2005) bias-corrected least square dummy variable estimator with a panel of 43 African economies. We also use the Driscoll and Kraay (1998) standard error fixed effect estimation, which controls for cross-sectional dependence to provide robustness check. We find that trade openness and the various components of international financial inflows are significant drivers of productive capacity in Africa, and that governance institutions are moderating and enhancing their effects. We also find that renewable energy consumption, human capital development and infrastructure development are promoting Africa's productive capacity. We highlight the policy implications of these findings, which among others, encourage policymakers and leaders in Africa to focus on policies that can enhance cross border trade, attract international financial inflows and entrench high-quality institutions.
Keywords: Trade openness, international financial inflows, governance institutions, productive capacity, system GMM regression
JEL classification: C23, F40, L83, N20, O14
Received: January 6, 2023; Revised: September 13, 2023; Accepted: October 23, 2023; Published: June 24, 2024 Show citation
ACS | AIP | APA | ASA | Harvard | Chicago | Chicago Notes | IEEE | ISO690 | MLA | NLM | Turabian | Vancouver |
References
- Abendin, S., Duan, P. (2021). International trade and economic growth in Africa: The role ofthe digital economy. Cogent Economics & Finance, 9(1), 1911767. https://doi.org/10.1080/23322039.2021.1911767
Go to original source...
- Acemoglu, D., Robinson, J. A. (2010). Why Is Africa Poor? Economic History of Developing Regions, 25(1), 21-50. https://doi.org/10.1080/20780389.2010.505010
Go to original source...
- Addison, T., Mavrotas, G., McGillivray, M. (2005). Aid to Africa: an unfinished agenda. Journal of International Development, 17(8), 989-1001. https://doi.org/10.1002/jid.1255
Go to original source...
- Adeseye, A. (2021). The Effect of Migrants Remittance on Economy Growth in Nigeria: An Empirical Study. Open Journal of Political Science, 11(1), 99-122. https://doi.org/10.4236/ojps.2021.111007
Go to original source...
- Adjei, M., Bo, Y., Nketiah, E., et al. (2020). The Effects of Remittances on Economic Growth in West Africa. Journal of Human Resource and Sustainability Studies, 8, 312-329. https://doi.org/10.4236/jhrss.2020.83018
Go to original source...
- African Development Bank (2021). African Economic Outlook 2021: From Debt Resolution to Growth: The Road Ahead for Africa. Abidjan: African Development Bank. ISBN 978-9973-9854-5-3.
- Anser, M. K., Usman, M., Sharif, M., et al. (2021). The dynamic impact of renewable energy sources on environmental economic growth: evidence from selected Asian economies. Environmental Science and Pollution Research, 29, 3323-3335. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-021-17136-8
Go to original source...
- Anthony-Orji, O. I., Orji, A., Ogbuabor, J. E., et al. (2019). Do financial stability and institutional quality have impact on financial inclusion in developing economies? A new evidence from Nigeria. International Journal of Sustainable Economy, 11(1), 18-40. https://doi.org/10.1504/IJSE.2019.096541
Go to original source...
- Arellano, M., Bond, S. (1991). Some tests of specification for panel data: Monte Carlo evidence and an application to employment equations. The Review of Economic Studies, 58(2), 277-297.
Go to original source...
- Arellano, M., Bover, O. (1995). Another look at the instrumental variable estimation of error-components models. Journal of Econometrics, 68(1), 29-51. https://doi.org/10.1016/0304-4076(94)01642-D
Go to original source...
- Aslam, M., Alim, W., Khan, N. (2022). Nexus between Capital Flows and Economic Growth: An Evidence from South Asian Countries. Journal of Economic Impact, 4(2), 14-21. https://doi.org/10.52223/jei4022202
Go to original source...
- Asongu, S. A., Acha-Anyi, P. N. (2019). The murder epidemic: A global comparative study. International Criminal Justice Review, 29(2), 105-120. https://doi.org/10.1177/105756771875958
Go to original source...
- Asongu, S. A., Le Roux, S., Biekpe, N. (2017). Environmental degradation, ICT and inclusive development in Sub-Saharan Africa. Energy Policy, 111, 353-361. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2017.09.049
Go to original source...
- Asongu, S. A., Odhiambo, N. M. (2020). Inequality and the Economic Participation of Women in Sub-Saharan Africa: An Empirical Investigation. African Journal of Economic and Management Studies, 11(2), 193-206.
Go to original source...
- Asongu, S. A., Odhiambo, N. M. (2021). Enhancing governance for environmental sustainability in sub-Saharan Africa. Energy Exploration & Exploitation, 39(1), 444-463. https://doi.org/10.1177/0144598719900657
Go to original source...
- Azam, M., Feng, Y. (2022). Does foreign aid stimulate economic growth in developing countries? Further evidence in both aggregate and disaggregated samples. Quality & Quantity, 56(2), 533-556. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11135-021-01143-5
Go to original source...
- Blundell, R., Bond, S. (2000). GMM estimation with persistent panel data: An application to production function. Econometric Reviews, 19(3), 321-340. https://doi.org/10.1080/07474930008800475
Go to original source...
- Blundell, R., Bond, S. (1998). Initial conditions and moment restrictions in dynamic panel data models. Journal of econometrics, 87(1), 115-143. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0304-4076(98)00009-8
Go to original source...
- Bond, S. R. (2002). Dynamic panel data models: A guide to micro data methods and practice. Portuguese Economic Journal, 1, 141-162. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10258-002-0009-9
Go to original source...
- Bruno, G. S. F. (2005). Approximating the bias of the LSDV estimator for dynamic unbalanced panel data models. Economics Letters, 87, 361-366. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econlet.2005.01.005
Go to original source...
- Bun, M. J. G., Carree, M. A. (2005). Bias-corrected estimation in dynamic panel data models. Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 23(2), 200-210.
Go to original source...
- Caglar, A. E., Zafar, M. W., Bekun, F. V., et al. (2022). Determinants of CO2 emissions in the BRICS economies: The role of partnerships investment in energy and economic complexity. Sustainable Energy Technologies and Assessments, 51, 101907. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.seta.2021.101907
Go to original source...
- Chatterjee, S., Kelly, M. C., Turnovsky, S. J. (2022). Foreign aid, public investment, and the informal economy. Economic Inquiry, 60(1), 174-201. https://doi.org/10.1111/ecin.13019
Go to original source...
- Chen, J., Su, F., Jain, V., et al. (2022). Does Renewable Energy Matter to Achieve Sustainable Development Goals? The Impact of Renewable Energy Strategies on Sustainable Economic Growth. Frontiers in Energy Research, 10, 829252. https://doi.org/10.3389/fenrg.2022.829252
Go to original source...
- Das, N., Bera, P., Panda, D. (2022). Can economic development & environmental sustainability promote renewable energy consumption in India? Findings from novel dynamic ARDL simulations approach. Renewable Energy, 189, 221-230. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.renene.2022.02.116
Go to original source...
- Dash, A. K. (2021). Does foreign aid influence economic growth? Evidence from South Asian countries. Transnational Corporations Review, 15(3), 72-85. https://doi.org/10.1080/19186444.2021.1974257
Go to original source...
- Dash, R. K. (2020). Impact of remittances on domestic investment: a panel study of six south Asian countries. South Asia Economic Journal, 21(1), 7-30. https://doi.org/10.1177/1391561420903199
Go to original source...
- Doan, H. Q. (2019). Trade, Institutional Quality and Income: Empirical Evidence for Sub-Saharan Africa. Economies, 7(2), 48. https://doi.org/10.3390/economies7020048
Go to original source...
- Doğan, B., Balsalobre-Lorente, D., Nasir, M. A. (2020). European commitment to COP21 and the role of energy consumption, FDI, trade and economic complexity in sustaining economic growth. Journal of Environmental Management, 273, 111146. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jenvman.2020.111146
Go to original source...
- Dong, K., Sun, R., Li, H., et al. (2018). Does natural gas consumption mitigate CO2 emissions: Testing the environmental Kuznets curve hypothesis for 14 Asia-Pacific countries. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 94, 419-429. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rser.2018.06.026
Go to original source...
- Driscoll, J. C., Kraay, A. C. (1998). Consistent Covariance Matrix Estimation with Spatially Dependent Panel Data. The Review of Economics and Statistics, 80(4), 549-560.
Go to original source...
- Ejike, D. C., Arinze, A. S., Chidi, O. F. (2018). Trade Liberalization and Economic Growth in Nigeria: A Cointegration Analysis (1980-2015). GPH-International Journal of Business Management, 1(1), 68-81.
- Ekeocha, D. O., Ogbuabor, J. E., Orji, A., et al. (2021). International tourism and economic growth in Africa: A post-global financial crisis analysis. Tourism Management Perspectives, 40, 100896. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tmp.2021.100896
Go to original source...
- Ekeocha D. O., Ogbuabor, J. E., Orji, A. (2022). Public infrastructural development and economic performance in Africa: A new evidence from panel data analysis. Economic Change and Restructuring, 55(2), 931-950. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10644-021-09334-8
Go to original source...
- Fite, U. F. (2020). Impact of Foreign Direct Investment on Economic Growth in Ethiopia. American Journal of Theoretical and Applied Business, 6(4), 72-78. https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ajtab.20200604.14
Go to original source...
- Gujarati, D. N., Porter, D. (2003). Multicollinearity: What happens if the regressors are correlated? In: Gujarati, D. N. Basic Econometrics, 4th edition. Boston: McGraw-Hill, p. 363. ISBN 978-0070597938.
- Girma, T., Tilahun, S. (2022). Predictability of foreign aid and economic growth in Ethiopia. Cogent Economics & Finance, 10(1), 2098606. https://doi.org/10.1080/23322039.2022.2098606
Go to original source...
- Hansen, L. P. (1982). Large sample properties of generalized method of moments estimators. Econometrica, 50(4), 1029-1054. https://doi.org/10.2307/1912775
Go to original source...
- Hlongwane, N. W., Daw, O. D. (2021). Unemployment And Economic Growth in South Africa from 1980 to 2020 an ARDL Approach. International Journal of Economics and Finance Studies, 13(2), 179-198.
- Iheonu, C. O., Ichoku, H. E. (2022). Terrorism and investment in Africa: Exploring the role of military expenditure. Economics and Business Review, 8(2), 92-112. https://doi.org/10.18559/ebr.2022.2.6
Go to original source...
- Ikpesu, F. (2019). Growth effects of capital inflows and investment in Nigeria. International Journal of Management, Economics and Social Sciences, 8(1), 5-19. https://doi.org/10.32327/IJMESS/8.1.2019.2
Go to original source...
- IMF (2019). International Finance Statistics Yearbook. Washington, D. C.: International Monetary Fund.
- Irshad, M., Qayed, S. H. (2022). Casual nexus between economic growth, FDI and employment: An inquiry into BRICS and ASEAN. Theoretical & Applied Economics, 29(2), 107-124.
- Isaychev, V., Andreev, N., Bogapova, M. (2020). The influence of growth regulators on the productive capacity of spring wheat. In: BIO Web of Conferences, vol. 17, p. 00106.
Go to original source...
- Issifu, I. (2018). The impact of remittance on domestic investment: The role of financial and institutional development in five countries in Sub-Saharan Africa. Forum of International Development Studies, 48(9), 1-20.
- Kamguia, B., Tadadjeu, S., Miamo, C., et al. (2022). Does foreign aid impede economic complexity in developing countries? International Economics, 169, 71-88. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.inteco.2021.10.004
Go to original source...
- Kamguia, B., Ndjakwa, M., Tadadjeu, S. (2023). Does infrastructural development foster export upgrade in Africa? African Development Review. 35(1), 79-94. https://doi.org/10.1111/1467-8268.12684
Go to original source...
- Khan, S. A. R., Yu, Z., Umar, M., et al. (2022). Renewable energy and advanced logistical infrastructure: Carbon-free economic development. Sustainable Development, 30(4), 693-702. https://doi.org/10.1002/sd.2266
Go to original source...
- Khan, H., Khan, U., Khan, M. A. (2020). Causal nexus between economic complexity and FDI: Empirical evidence from time series analysis. The Chinese Economy, 53(5), 374-394. https://doi.org/10.1080/10971475.2020.1730554
Go to original source...
- Khan, M. A., Kong, D., Xiang, J., et al. (2019). Impact of institutional quality on financial development: Cross-country evidence based on emerging and growth-leading economies. Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, 1-17. https://doi.org/10.1080/1540496X.2019.1588725
Go to original source...
- Liu, H., Alharthi, M., Zafar, M. W., et al. (2022). Understanding the Role of Technology in Asian Economies: The Environmental Impact of Remittances and Economic Complexity. Evaluation Review, 47(6). https://doi.org/10.1177/0193841X221120483
Go to original source...
- Mlambo, C., Kapingura, F. (2020). Remittances and economic development: Evidence from SADC countries. Eurasian Journal of Economics and Finance, 8(4), 261-273.
Go to original source...
- National Bureau of Statistics, Nigeria (2023). Statistics in Nigeria. [Retrieved 2023-05-31] Available at: https://www.nigerianstat.gov.ng/
- Nguea, S. M., Fotio, H. K., Baida, L. A. (2022). Investigating the effects of globalization on economic sophistication in selected African countries. African Development Review, 34(3), 324-338. https://doi.org/10.1111/1467-8268.12666
Go to original source...
- North, D. C. (1990). Institutions, institutional change, and economic performance. New York: Cambridge University Press. ISBN 978-0511808678.
Go to original source...
- OECD (2018). Development Cooperation Development Cooperation Report 2018: Joining Forces to Leave No One Behind. Paris: OECD Publishing. ISBN 978-9264303669.
Go to original source...
- Ogbonna, O. E., Ogbuabor, J. E., Eze, A. A., et al. (2021). Moderating effect of institutional quality on relationship between foreign aid and economic growth in Africa. Politická ekonomie, 69(4), 457-478. https://doi.org/10.18267/j.polek.1314
Go to original source...
- Ogbonna, O. E., Ogbuabor, J. E., Manasseh, C. O., et al. (2022). Global uncertainty, economic governance institutions and foreign direct investment inflow in Africa. Economic Change and Restructuring, 55(4), 2111-2136. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10644-021-09378-w
Go to original source...
- Ogbuabor, J. E., Orji, A., Manasseh, C. O., et al. (2020). Institutional Quality and Growth in West Africa: What happened after the Great Recession? International Advances in Economic Research, 26(4), 343-361. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11294-020-09805-0
Go to original source...
- Ogbuabor, J. E., Anthony-Orji, O. I., Ogbonna, O. E., et al. (2019). Regional integration and Growth: New Empirical Evidence from WAEMU. Progress in Development Studies, 19(2), 123-143. https://doi.org/10.1177/1464993418822883
Go to original source...
- Osaulenko, O., Yatsenko, O., Reznikova, N., et al. (2020). The productive capacity of countries through the prism of sustainable development goals: Challenges to international economic security and to competitiveness. Financial and Credit Activity Problems of Theory and Practice, 33(2), 492-499. https://doi.org/10.18371/fcaptp.v2i33.207214
Go to original source...
- Owusu-Manu, D., Jehuri, A., Edwards, D., et al. (2019). The impact of infrastructure development on economic growth in sub-Saharan Africa with special focus on Ghana. Journal of Financial Management of Property and Construction, 24(3), 253-273. https://doi.org/10.1108/JFMPC-09-2018-0050
Go to original source...
- Pal, S., Villanthenkodath, M. A., Patel, G., et al. (2022). The impact of remittance inflows on economic growth, unemployment and income inequality: International evidence. International Journal of Economic Policy Studies, 16(1), 211-235. https://doi.org/10.1007/s42495-021-00074-1
Go to original source...
- Pesaran, M. H. (2021). General diagnostic tests for cross-sectional dependence in panels. Empirical Economics, 60, 13-50. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00181-020-01875-7
Go to original source...
- Qamruzzaman, M. D., Jianguo, W. (2020). Nexus between remittance and household consumption: fresh evidence from symmetric or asymmetric investigation. Journal of Economic Development, 45(3), 1-27. https://doi.org/10.35866/caujed.2020.45.3.001
Go to original source...
- Ramakrishnan, H., Sahoo, N., Jalem, K., et al. (2022). Influence of Technology and Its Impact on Urban Migration Productive Capacity. Journal of Contemporary Issues in Business and Government, 28(4), 197-212.
- Ranjbar, O., Rassekh, F. (2022). Does economic complexity influence the efficacy of foreign direct investment? An empirical inquiry. The Journal of International Trade & Economic Development, 31(6), 1-17. https://doi.org/10.1080/09638199.2022.2036792
Go to original source...
- Roodman, D. (2009). How to do xtabond2: An introduction to difference and system GMM in Stata. Stata Journal, 9, 86-136. https://doi.org/10.1177/1536867X0900900106
Go to original source...
- Romer, P. M. (1990). Endogenous technical change. Journal of Political Economy, 98, 71-102.
Go to original source...
- Saadi, M. (2020). Remittance inflows and export complexity: New evidence from developing and emerging countries. The Journal of Development Studies, 56(12), 2266-2292. https://doi.org/10.1080/00220388.2020.1755653
Go to original source...
- Sarafidis, V., Robertson, D. (2009). On the impact of error cross-sectional dependence in short dynamic panel estimation. The Econometrics Journal, 12(1), 62-81. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1368-423X.2008.00260.x
Go to original source...
- Solow, R. M. (1956). A contribution to the theory of economic growth. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 70(1), 65-94.
Go to original source...
- Statistics South Africa (2022). Quarterly Labour Force Survey (QLFS) - Q2:2022. [Retrieved 2023-05-31] Available at: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?p=15685
- Tabash, M. I., Mesagan, E. P., Farooq, U. (2022). Dynamic linkage between natural resources, economic complexity, and economic growth: empirical evidence from Africa. Resources Policy, 78, 102865. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.resourpol.2022.102865
Go to original source...
- Tchamyou, V. S. (2019). The role of information sharing in modulating the effect of financial access on inequality. Journal of African Business, 20(3), 317-338. https://doi.org/10.1080/15228916.2019.1584262
Go to original source...
- Tiwari, A. K., Nasreen, S., Anwar, M. A. (2022). Impact of equity market development on renewable energy consumption: Do the role of FDI, trade openness and economic growth matter in Asian economies? Journal of Cleaner Production, 334, 130244. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2021.130244
Go to original source...
- UNCTAD (2022). World Investment Report 2022: International Tax Reforms and Sustainable Investment. New York: UNCTAD.
- UNCTAD (2020). Foreign Direct Investment to Africa fell by 21% in 2019. [Retrieved 2023-05-31] Available at: https://unctad.org/en/pages/PressRelease.aspx?OriginalVersionID=461
- UNCTAD (2019). Economic Development in Africa Report 2019: Made in Africa - Rules of Origin for Enhanced Intra-African Trade. Geneva: United Nations. Available at: https://unctad.org/system/files/official-document/edar2019_en_ch5.pdf
- UNCTAD (2023). Productive Capacities Index. [Retrieved 2023-05-31] Available at: http://unctadstat.unctad.org/EN/Pci.html
- Vu, T. V. (2022). Does institutional quality foster economic complexity? The fundamental drivers of productive capabilities. Empirical Economics, 63, 1571-1604. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00181-021-02175-4
Go to original source...
- Wang, Q., Dong, Z., Li, R., et al. (2022). Renewable energy and economic growth: new insight from country risks. Energy, 238(C), 122018. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2021.122018
Go to original source...
- WB (2019). Global Economic Prospects, January 2019: Darkening Skies. [Retrieved 2022-12-26] Available at: https://openknowledge.worldbank.org/handle/10986/31066
- WB (2020). World Bank Predicts Sharpest Decline of Remittances in Recent History. [Retrieved 2022-12-26] Available at: https://www.worldbank.org/en/news/press-release/2020/04/22/world-bank-predicts-sharpest-decline-of-remittances-in-recent-history
- WB (2021). Human Capital Index (HCI) (scale 0-1). [Retrieved 2022-12-26] Available at: https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/HD.HCI.OVRL
- WB (2022a). World Development Indicators. [Retrieved 2023-05-31] Available at: https://datacatalog.worldbank.org/dataset/world-development-indicators
- WB (2022b). World Governance Indicators [Retrieved 2023-05-31]. Available at: https://datacatalog.worldbank.org/dataset/worldwide-governance-indicators
- Windmeijer, F. (2005). A finite sample correction for the variance of linear efficient two-step GMM estimators. Journal of Econometrics, 126(1), 25-51. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jeconom.2004.02.005
Go to original source...
- Wei, X., Mohsin, M., Zhang, Q. (2022). Role of foreign direct investment and economic growth in renewable energy development. Renewable Energy, 192, 828-837. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.renene.2022.04.062
Go to original source...
- Williams, P. A., Akuffobea, M., Onumah, J. A., et al. (2016). Meeting productive capacity of agro-processors in Ghana: What are the drivers? International Journal of Development and Sustainability, 5(10), 495-507.
- Wiredu, J., Nketiah, E., Adjei, M. (2020). The Relationship between Trade Openness, Foreign Direct Investment and Economic Growth in West Africa: Static Panel Data Model. Journal of Human Resource and Sustainability Studies, 8, 18-34. https://doi.org/10.4236/jhrss.2020.81002
Go to original source...
- Xu, X., Li, H. (2019). Production Capacity Endowment and Upgrading Path of China's Industrial Transformation: From the Perspective of Product Space Theory. Journal of Contemporary Finance and Economics, 94-104.
- Yalta, A. Y., Yalta, T. (2021). Determinants of economic complexity in MENA Countries. Journal of Emerging Economies and Policy, 6(1), 5-16.
- Yimer, A. (2022). The effects of FDI on economic growth in Africa. The Journal of International Trade & Economic Development, 32(1), 2-36. https://doi.org/10.1080/09638199.2022.2079709
Go to original source...
- Younsi, M., Bechtini, M., Khemili, H. (2021). The effects of foreign aid, foreign direct investment and domestic investment on economic growth in African countries: Nonlinearities and complementarities. African Development Review, 33(1), 55-66. https://doi.org/10.1111/1467-8268.12490
Go to original source...
- Zamani, Z., Tayebi, S. K. (2022). Spillover effects of trade and foreign direct investment on economic growth: an implication for sustainable development. Environment, Development and Sustainability, 24(3), 3967-3981. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10668-021-01597-5
Go to original source...
This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License (CC BY NC ND 4.0), which permits non-comercial use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original publication is properly cited. No use, distribution or reproduction is permitted which does not comply with these terms.