Politická ekonomie 2022, 70(6):711-729 | DOI: 10.18267/j.polek.1369

Revisiting Immigration - Unemployment Relationship in Europe

Eda Yilmaz ORCID...a, Tuğay Günel ORCID...b
a Hacettepe University, Faculty of Economics and Administrative Sciences, Department of Public Finance, Ankara, Turkey
b Cukurova University, Faculty of Economics and Administrative Sciences, Department of Public Finance, Adana, Turkey

Immigration is a controversial and vital issue that has become an acute problem for countries facing cultural and economic difficulties resulting from it, and unemployment is at the forefront of these difficulties. According to theory, migration causes unemployment; thus, the causality relationship between migration and unemployment is empirically ex- amined in our study. For this purpose, we used a new test known as the Panel Fourier Toda-Yamamoto (PFTY) method for the period 1990-2019, which contributes to the existing literature from a methodological standpoint. This test allows investigating multiple structural breaks, cross-section dependence and country heterogeneity. Our first test results show that when we use the Dumitrescu-Hurlin (2012) test, the causal relationship is confirmed neither for any country nor the entire panel. However, when we employ the PFTY test, we reach causality runs from migration to unemployment for the entire panel and four countries.

Keywords: Migration, unemployment, labour market, Panel Granger causality, Fourier function
JEL classification: E24, F22, J61

Vloženo: 6. prosinec 2021; Revidováno: 29. duben 2022; Přijato: 1. červenec 2022; Zveřejněno: 25. leden 2023  Zobrazit citaci

ACS AIP APA ASA Harvard Chicago Chicago Notes IEEE ISO690 MLA NLM Turabian Vancouver
Yilmaz, E., & Günel, T. (2022). Revisiting Immigration - Unemployment Relationship in Europe. Politická ekonomie70(6), 711-729. doi: 10.18267/j.polek.1369
Stáhnout citaci

Reference

  1. Arango, J. (2013). Exceptional in Europe? Spain's Experience with Immigration and Integration. Washington, D.C.: Migration Policy Institute. Available at: https://www.migrationpolicy.org/pubs/TCM-Spaincasestudy.pdf
  2. Bansak, C., Simpson, N., Zavodny, M. (2015). The Economics of Immigration. Oxford: Routledge. ISBN 9780367416164. Přejít k původnímu zdroji...
  3. Borjas, G. J. (1987). Immigrants, Minorities, and Labor Market Competition. Industrial & Labor Relations Review, 40(3), 382-392, https://doi.org/10.2307/2523494 Přejít k původnímu zdroji...
  4. Boubtane, E., Coulibaly, D., Rault, C. (2013a). Immigration, Growth, and Unemployment: Panel VAR Evidence from OECD Countries. Labour, 27(4), 399-420, https://doi.org/10.1111/labr.12017 Přejít k původnímu zdroji...
  5. Boubtane, E., Coulibaly, D., Rault, C. (2013b). Immigration, Unemployment and GDP in the Host Country: Bootstrap Panel Granger Causality Analysis on OECD Countries. Economic Modelling, 33, 261-269, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econmod.2013.04.017 Přejít k původnímu zdroji...
  6. Breusch, T. S., Pagan, A. R. (1980). The Lagrange Multiplier Test and its Applications to Model Specification in Econometrics. The Review of Economic Studies, 47(1), 239-253, https://doi.org/10.2307/2297111 Přejít k původnímu zdroji...
  7. Chamunorwa, W., Mlambo, C. (2014). The Unemployment Impact of Immigration in South Africa. Mediterranean Journal of Social Sciences, 5(20), 2631-2631, https://doi.org/10.5901/mjss.2014.v5n20p2631 Přejít k původnímu zdroji...
  8. Chletsos, M., Roupakias, S. (2012). Immigration, Unemployment and Growth: Empirical Evidence from Greece. MPRA Paper No. 39927. Available at: https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/39927/
  9. Dalinayodo, V. (2021). The Impact of Immigration and Inflation of Unemployment in United States of America from 1989 to 2018: a VAR Approach. Bachelor project. Kuala Lumpur: Tunku Abdul Rahman University College.
  10. Dickey, D. A., Fuller, W. A. (1979). Distribution of the Estimators for Autoregressive Time Series with a Unit Root. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 74(366), 427-431, https://doi.org/10.2307/2286348 Přejít k původnímu zdroji...
  11. Dumitrescu, E.-I., Hurlin, C. (2012). Testing for Granger Non-Causality in Heterogeneous Panels. Economic Modelling, 29(4), 1450-1460, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econmod.2012.02.014 Přejít k původnímu zdroji...
  12. Emirmahmutoglu, F., Kose, N. (2011). Testing for Granger Causality in Heterogeneous Mixed Panels. Economic Modelling, 28(3), 870-876, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econmod.2010.10.018 Přejít k původnímu zdroji...
  13. Enders, W., Jones, P. (2016). Grain Prices, Oil Prices, and Multiple Smooth Breaks in a VAR. Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, 20(4), 399-419, https://doi.org/10.1515/snde-2014-0101 Přejít k původnímu zdroji...
  14. Espinosa, A. M., Díaz-Emparanza, I. (2021). The Long-term Relationship Between International Labour Migration and Unemployment in Spain. Journal of International Migration and Integration, 22(1), 145-166, https://doi.org/10.1007/s12134-019-00716-6 Přejít k původnímu zdroji...
  15. Esposito, P., Collignon, S., Scicchitano, S. (2020). The effect of immigration on unemployment in Europe: Does the core-periphery dualism matter? Economic Modelling, 84, 249-258, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econmod.2019.04.014 Přejít k původnímu zdroji...
  16. Feridun, M. (2005). Investigating the Economic Impact of Immigration on the Host Country: The Case of Norway. Prague Economic Papers, 14(4), 350-362, https://doi.org/10.18267/j.pep.270 Přejít k původnímu zdroji...
  17. Feridun, M. (2007). Immigration, Income and Unemployment: An Application of the Bounds Testing Approach to Cointegration. The Journal of Developing Areas, 41(1), 37-49, https://doi.org/10.1353/jda.2008.0014 Přejít k původnímu zdroji...
  18. Floros, K., Jørgensen, B. M. (2020). Tracing the future of migrants' labour relations. Experiences of institutionalised migrant precarity in Denmark and Greece. Political Geography, 77, 102120, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.polgeo.2019.102120 Přejít k původnímu zdroji...
  19. Fromentin, V. (2013). The Relationship Between Immigration and Unemployment: The Case of France. Economic Analysis and Policy, 43(1), 51-66, https://doi.org/10.1016/S0313-5926(13)50003-8 Přejít k původnímu zdroji...
  20. Granger, C. W. J. (1969). Investigating causal relations by econometric models and cross-spectral methods. Econometrica: Journal of the Econometric Society, 37(3), 424-438. https://doi.org/10.2307/1912791 Přejít k původnímu zdroji...
  21. Greenwood, M. J., Hunt, G. L. (1995). Economic Effects of Immigrants on Native and Foreign- -Born Workers: Complementarity, Substitutability, and Other Channels of Influence. Southern Economic Journal, 61(4), 1076-1097, https://doi.org/10.2307/1060742 Přejít k původnímu zdroji...
  22. Islam, A. (2007). Immigration Unemployment Relationship: The Evidence from Canada. Australian Economic Papers, 46(1), 52-66, https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-8454. 2007.00305.x Přejít k původnímu zdroji...
  23. Jean, S., Jiménez, M. (2011). The Unemployment Impact of Immigration in OECD Countries. European Journal of Political Economy, 27(2), 241-256, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ejpoleco.2010.11.006 Přejít k původnímu zdroji...
  24. Johnson, G. E. (1980). The Labor Market Effects of Immigration. ILR Review, 33(3), 331-341, https://doi.org/10.1177/001979398003300304 Přejít k původnímu zdroji...
  25. Kerschen, N. (2019). Changes in Luxembourg's welfare system (1998-2018): Coalition governments and Europeanisation as major driving forces. In: Blum, S., Kuhlmann, J., Schubert, K. Routledge Handbook of European Welfare Systems. 2nd edition, 327-347. London: Routledge. ISBN: 9780429290510. Přejít k původnímu zdroji...
  26. Kónya, L. (2006). Exports and growth: Granger causality analysis on OECD Countries with a panel data approach. Economic Modelling, 23(6), 978-992, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econmod.2006.04.008 Přejít k původnímu zdroji...
  27. Latif, E. (2015). The Relationship Between Immigration and Unemployment: Panel Data Evidence from Canada. Economic Modelling, 50, 162-167, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econmod.2015.06.013 Přejít k původnímu zdroji...
  28. Lopez, L., Weber, S. (2017). Testing for Granger causality in panel data. The Stata Journal, 17(4), 972-984, https://doi.org/10.1177/1536867X1801700412 Přejít k původnímu zdroji...
  29. Martin, P., Widgren, J. (2002). International Migration: Facing the Challenge. Population Bulletin, 57(1).
  30. Nazlioglu, S., Gormus, N. A., Soytas, U. (2016). Oil Prices and Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs): Gradual-Shift Causality and Volatility Transmission Analysis. Energy Economics, 60, 168-175, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eneco.2016.09.009 Přejít k původnímu zdroji...
  31. OECD (2020). International Migration Outlook 2020. Paris: OECD. ISBN: 9789264854765, https://doi.org/10.1787/1999124x Přejít k původnímu zdroji...
  32. Pesaran, M. H. (2004). General Diagnostic Tests for Cross Section Dependence in Panels IZA Discussion Paper No. 1240. Available at: https://docs.iza.org/dp1240.pdf Přejít k původnímu zdroji...
  33. Schmidt, C. M., Stilz, A., Zimmermann, K. F. (1994). Mass Migration, Unions, and Government Intervention. Journal of Public Economics, 55(2), 185-201, https://doi.org/10.1016/0047-2727(94)90051-5 Přejít k původnímu zdroji...
  34. Shan, J. (1999). Immigration and Unemployment: New Evidence from Australia and New Zealand. International Review of Applied Economics, 13(2), 253-260, https://doi.org/10.1080/026921799101698 Přejít k původnímu zdroji...
  35. Stockmeijer, A., de Beer, P., Dagevos, J. (2020). Explaining Differences in Unemployment Benefit Takeup Between Labour Migrants and Dutch Native Workers. International Social Security Review, 73(2), 75-99, https://doi.org/10.1111/issr.12235 Přejít k původnímu zdroji...
  36. Swamy, P. A. V. B. (1970). Efficient Inference in a Random Coefficient Regression Model. Econometrica: Journal of the Econometric Society, 311-323, https://doi.org/10.2307/1913012 Přejít k původnímu zdroji...
  37. Toda, H. Y., Yamamoto, T. (1995). Statistical Inference in Vector Autoregressions with Possibly Integrated Processes. Journal of Econometrics, 66(1-2), 225-250, https://doi.org/10.1016/0304-4076(94)01616-8 Přejít k původnímu zdroji...
  38. Tzougas, J. (2013). Immigration, Economic Growth and Unemployment in Greece: An Application of the ARDL Bounds Testing Approach to Cointegration. Piraeus: Hellenic Statistical Authority, https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2297466 Přejít k původnímu zdroji...
  39. Yilanci, V., Gorus, M. S. (2020). Does Economic Globalization Have Predictive Power for Ecological Footprint in MENA Counties? A Panel Causality Test with a Fourier Function. Environmental Science and Pollution Research, 27(32), 40552-40562, Přejít k původnímu zdroji...

Tento článek je publikován v režimu tzv. otevřeného přístupu k vědeckým informacím (Open Access), který je distribuován pod licencí Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License (CC BY NC ND 4.0), která umožňuje nekomerční distribuci, reprodukci a změny, pokud je původní dílo řádně ocitováno. Není povolena distribuce, reprodukce nebo změna, která není v souladu s podmínkami této licence.