Politická ekonomie X:X | DOI: 10.18267/j.polek.1502
Military Expenditures and Economic Growth: Evidence from Turkey
- Ahmet Kadiroğlu (corresponding author), Bingöl University, Social and Economic Studies Application and Research Center, Bingöl, Turkey
A recent focus on the socioeconomic impacts of military expenditures has led to a resurgence of interest in research and development activities in this domain. A comprehensive review of extant academic studies reveals a conspicuous absence of research examining the augmented Solow growth model, encompassing capital formation, labor force, military expenditures, and economic growth for Turkey. Consequently, this study aims to investigate the impact of capital formation, labor force, and military expenditures on economic growth in Turkey from 1991 to 2022. To this end, the study employs the residual augmented least square (RALS) approach. The coefficients for the variables in the long run are analyzed with the EKK method and FMOLS, DOLS, and CCR estimators. The original contribution of this study lies in its comprehensive examination of the impact of developments in military expenditures on economic growth in Turkey, thereby addressing a significant research gap. The study’s findings indicate that while military expenditures exerted a negative influence on the Turkish economy during the period 1991–2022, the augmentation in capital formation and the labor force exerted a positive influence on the same economy.
Keywords: Economic growth, military expenditures, capital formation, labor force, Turkey
Received: November 7, 2024; Revised: February 25, 2025; Accepted: March 28, 2025; Prepublished online: November 2, 2025
References
- Abu-Bader, S., & Abu-Qarn, A. S. (2003). Government expenditures, military spending and economic growth: causality evidence from Egypt, Israel, and Syria. Journal of policy modeling, 25(6-7), 567-583.
Go to original source... - Alptekin, A., & Levine, P. (2012). Military expenditure and economic growth: A meta-analysis. European Journal of Political Economy, 28(4), 636-650.
Go to original source... - Arshad, A., Syed, S. H., & Shabbir, G. (2017). Military expenditure and economic growth: a panel data analysis. Forman Journal of Economic Studies, 13(1-12), 161-175.
Go to original source... - Awaworyi Churchill, S., & Yew, S. L. (2018). The effect of military expenditure on growth: an empirical synthesis. Empirical Economics, 55(3), 1357-1387.
Go to original source... - Aye, G. C., Balcilar, M., Dunne, J. P., Gupta, R., & Van Eyden, R. (2014). Military expenditure, economic growth and structural instability: a case study of South Africa. Defence and Peace Economics, 25(6), 619-633.
Go to original source... - Blasko, D. J., C. W. Freeman, S. A. Horowitz, E. S. Medeiros, and J. C. Mulvenon (2007). Defense-Related spending in China: A preliminary analysis and comparison with American equivalents. Washington, DC: The U.S.-China Policy Foundation.
- Benoit, E. (1972), Growth effects of defense in developing countries, International Development Review, 14.
- Benoit, E. (1973). Defense and Economic Growth in Developing Countries, Lexington: Lexington Books.
- Benoit, E. (1978). Growth and defense in developing countries. Economic Development and Cultural Change, 271-280.
Go to original source... - Chang, H. C., Huang, B. N., & Yang, C. W. (2011). Military expenditure and economic growth across different groups: A dynamic panel Granger-causality approach. Economic Modelling, 28(6), 2416-2423.
Go to original source... - Chen, P. F., Lee, C. C., & Chiu, Y. B. (2014). The nexus between defense expenditure and economic growth: New global evidence. Economic Modelling, 36, 474-483.
Go to original source... - Calaguas, M. (2006). Military Privatization: Efficiency or Anarchy. Chi.-Kent J. Int'l & Comp. L., 6, 58.
- Collier, P. (2007). The bottom billion. Economic Review-Deddington, 25(1), 17.
- Deger, S. & Sen, S. (1995) Military expenditure and developing countries. In Handbook of Defence Economics,Volume 1, edited by K. Hartley and T. Sandler. Amsterdam: Elsevier, 275-307.
Go to original source... - Demirtaş, C., Soyu Yildirim, E., & Dur, D. T. (2023). Do oil prices have an effects on food prices? Fresh evidences from Turkey. Journal of Business Research, 15(1), 79-91.
Go to original source... - Dimitraki, O., & Menla Ali, F. (2015). The long-run causal relationship between military expenditure and economic growth in China: revisited. Defence and Peace Economics, 26(3), 311-326.
Go to original source... - Dimitraki, O., & Win, S. (2021). Military expenditure economic growth nexus in Jordan: An application of ARDL Bound test analysis in the presence of breaks. Defence and Peace Economics, 32(7), 864-881.
Go to original source... - Dunne, J. P. & Vougas, D. 1999. Military spending and economic growth in South Africa. Journal of Conflict Resolution, 43 (4), 521 - 537.
Go to original source... - Dunne, P., Smith, R., & Willenbockel, D. (2004). Theoretical and econometric issues in analysing the military expenditure-growth nexus. Mimeograph. Available at http://carecon.org.uk/Armsproduction/Papers/MEIandGnew. pdf.
- Dunne, J. P., Smith, R. P., & Willenbockel, D. (2005). Models of military expenditure and growth: A critical review. Defence and peace economics, 16(6), 449-461.
Go to original source... - Dunne, J. P., & Tian, N. (2017). Military expenditure, economic growth and heterogeneity. In Defense Spending, Natural Resources, and Conflict, 26(1), 25-42. Routledge.
- Enimola, S.S. and Akoko, A., (2011). Defense expenditure and economic growth: The Nigerian Experience: 1977-2006. Botswana Journal of Economics, 8(12), 26-44.
- Farzanegan, M. R. (2014). Military spending and economic growth: the case of Iran. Defence and Peace Economics, 25(3), 247-269.
Go to original source... - Francis, A. M. (2009). The Human capital peace: development and international conflict. Defence and Peace Economics, 20(5), 395-411.
Go to original source... - Furuoka, F., Oishi, M., & Karim, M. A. (2016). Military expenditure and economic development in China: an empirical inquiry. Defence and Peace Economics, 27(1), 137-160.
Go to original source... - G d'Agostino, G., Dunne, J. P., & Pieroni, L. (2019). Military expenditure, endogeneity and economic growth. Defence and Peace Economics, 30(5), 509-524.
Go to original source... - Geng, L., Abban, O. J., Hongxing, Y., Ofori, C., Cobbinah, J., Ampong, S. A., & Akhtar, M. (2024). Do military expenditures impede economic growth in 48 Islamic countries? A panel data analysis with novel approaches. Environment, Development and Sustainability, 26(7), 18725-18759.
Go to original source... - Gokmenoglu, K. K., Taspinar, N., & Sadeghieh, M. (2015). Military expenditure and economic growth: The case of Turkey. Procedia Economics and Finance, 25, 455-462.
Go to original source... - Hepsağ, A. (2022). Ekonometrik zaman serileri analizlerinde güncel yöntemler (WinRats Uygulamali). DER Yayinlari.
- Hou, N., & Chen, B. (2013). Military expenditure and economic growth in developing countries: Evidence from system GMM estimates. Defence and peace economics, 24(3), 183-193.
Go to original source... - Huang, T.-Y., W. Po-Chin, and S.-Y. Liu (2017). Defense-growth Causality: Considerations of regime-switching and time-and country-varying Effects. Defence and Peace Economics, 28(5), 568-584.
Go to original source... - Iheonu, C. O., & Ichoku, H. E. (2023). Terrorism and economic growth in Africa: understanding the role of military expenditure. Behavioral sciences of terrorism and political aggression, 15(4), 448-462.
Go to original source... - Inal, V., Gurdal, T., Degirmenci, T., & Aydin, M. (2024). The effects of military expenditures on labor productivity, innovation and economic growth for the most militarized countries: panel data analysis. Kybernetes, 53(3), 821-840.
Go to original source... - Khalid, U., & Habimana, O. (2021). Military spending and economic growth in Turkey: A wavelet approach. Defence and Peace Economics, 32(3), 362-376.
Go to original source... - Klein, T. (2004). Military expenditure and economic growth: Peru 1970-1996. Defence and Peace Economics, 15(3), 275-288.
Go to original source... - Kollias, C., Manolas, G., & Paleologou, S. M. (2004). Defence expenditure and economic growth in the European Union: a causality analysis. Journal of Policy Modeling, 26(5), 553-569.
Go to original source... - Kollias, C., & Paleologou, S. M. (2010). Growth, investment and military expenditure in the European Union-15. Journal of Economic Studies, 37(2), 228-240.
Go to original source... - Lebovic, J. H. and Ishaq, A. 1987. Military burden security needs and economic growth in the Middle East. Journal of Conflict Resolution, 31 (1): 106-138.
Go to original source... - Lee, H., Lee, J. & Im, K. (2015). More powerful cointegration tests with non-normal errors. Studies In Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, 19(4), 397-413.
Go to original source... - Lobont, O. R., Glont, O. R., Badea, L., & Vatavu, S. (2019). Correlation of military expenditures and economic growth: lessons for Romania. Quality & Quantity, 53, 2957-2968.
Go to original source... - Luqman, M., & Antonakakis, N. (2021). Guns better than butter in Pakistan? The dilemma of military expenditure, human development, and economic growth. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 173, 121143.
Go to original source... - Manamperi, N. (2016). Does military expenditure hinder economic growth? Evidence from Greece and Turkey. Journal of Policy Modeling, 38(6), 1171-1193.
Go to original source... - Narayan, P. K., & Singh, B. (2007). Modelling the relationship between defense spending and economic growth for the Fiji Islands. Defence and peace economics, 18(4), 391-401.
Go to original source... - Navarro-Galera, A., & Maturana, R. I. O. (2011). Innovating in defence policy through spending efficiency: The Life Cycle Costing model. Journal of Policy Modeling, 33(3), 407-425.
Go to original source... - Said, L. (2023). The Impact of Military Expenditures on Economic Growth: A New Instrumental Variables Approach. Defence and Peace Economics, 1-16.
- Pieroni, L. (2009). Military expenditure and economic growth. Defence and peace economics, 20(4), 327-339.
Go to original source... - Ram, R. (1995). Defense Expenditure and Economic Growth. In K. Hartley, & T. Sandler (Eds.), Handbook of Defense Economics, Elsevier, 251-273.
Go to original source... - Saba, C. S., & Ngepah, N. (2019). A cross-regional analysis of military expenditure, state fragility and economic growth in Africa. Quality & Quantity, 53(6), 2885-2915.
Go to original source... - Salihoğlu, Ö. Ü. E., & Hepsağ, A. (2021). Banka Faiz Orani Geçişkenliği: RALS Eşbütünleşme Yöntemiyle Normal Dağilmamayi Dikkate Alan Bir Yaklaşim. Bankacilar, 32(117), 40-57.
- Scheetz, T. 1991. The macroeconomic impact of defence expenditures: some economic evidence for Argentina, Chile, Paraguay and Peru. Defence Economics, 3(1): 65-81.
Go to original source... - Shieh, J., Lai, C. & Chang, W. (2002) The impact of military burden on long-run growth and welfare. Journal of Development Economics, 68 443-454.
Go to original source... - Smith, R. P. (1989). Models of military expenditure. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 4(4), 345-359.
Go to original source... - Tzeng, S. J., Lai, C. C., & Huang, C. C. (2008). Does Military Expenditure Matter for Inflation and Economic Growth? Defence and Peace Economics, 19(6), 471-478.
Go to original source... - Wang, X., Hou, N., & Chen, B. (2023). Democracy, military expenditure and economic growth: A heterogeneous perspective. Defence and Peace Economics, 34(8), 1039-1070.
Go to original source... - Yakovlev, P. (2007). Arms trade, military spending, and economic growth. Defence and peace economics, 18(4), 317-338.
Go to original source... - Yang, A. J., Trumbull, W. N., Yang, C. W., & Huang, B. N. (2011). On the relationship between military expenditure, threat, and economic growth: a nonlinear approach. Defence and Peace Economics, 22(4), 449-457.
Go to original source... - Yildirim, J., Sezgin, S., & Öcal, N. (2005). Military expenditure and economic growth in Middle Eastern countries: A dynamic panel data analysis. Defence and Peace Economics, 16(4), 283-295.
Go to original source... - Yildirim, J., & Öcal, N. (2016). Military expenditures, economic growth and spatial spillovers. Defence and Peace Economics, 27(1), 87-104.
Go to original source... - Yilgör, M., Karagöl, E. T., & Saygili, Ç. A. (2014). Panel causality analysis between defence expenditure and economic growth in developed countries. Defence and Peace Economics, 25(2), 193-203.
Go to original source... - Yolcu Karadam, D., Yildirim, J., & Öcal, N. (2017). Military expenditure and economic growth in Middle Eastern countries and Turkey: a non-linear panel data approach. Defence and Peace Economics, 28(6), 719-730.
Go to original source... - Zhong, M., Chang, T., Goswami, S., Gupta, R., & Lou, T. W. (2017). The nexus between military expenditures and economic growth in the BRICS and the US: an empirical note. Defence and Peace Economics, 28(5), 609-620.
Go to original source...
This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License (CC BY NC ND 4.0), which permits non-comercial use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original publication is properly cited. No use, distribution or reproduction is permitted which does not comply with these terms.

ORCID...