Politická ekonomie X:X | DOI: 10.18267/j.polek.1525

Growth and Inequality Effects of Reforms from the Perspective of Defining and Measuring: A Model Essay on Turkey

Ömer Yalçinkaya ORCID..., Vedat Kaya ORCID..., Gökhan Erkal ORCID...
Ömer Yalçinkaya (corresponding author), Department of Economics, Atatürk University, Erzurum, Turkey
Vedat Kaya, Department of Economics, Atatürk University, Erzurum, Turkey
Gökhan Erkal, Department of Econometrics, Atatürk University, Erzurum, Turkey

In this study, parallel with the developments in the global economy, the focus was on Turkey, where reform programs have become widespread since the 1990s, and the possible effects of reforms on growth and inequality were exam ined. For this purpose, in the study, financial, fiscal, real, and trade sector reforms for Turkey were defined by IMF-MONA classifications, measured from the archive of the Official Gazette of the Presidency of the Republic of Turkey from 1990 to 2021, and their effects on growth and inequality were examined by the Augmented ARDL method. The study\'s innovative aspect focuses on the effects of the reforms identified with a new approach to growth and inequality in a developing country like Turkey concerning IMF-MONA classifications. As a result of the study, it was determined that 102 reform proposals were carried out in Turkey about the IMF-MONA classifications during the review period, which introduced important regulations for the functioning of the economic system in terms of scope and content in the financial, fiscal, real, and trade sectors. In addition, it was concluded that reforms in Turkey have varying effects on growth and inequality according to sectors and that fiscal sector reforms constitute trade-offs against growth. These results show that reforms carried out in Turkey concerning IMF-MONA classifications generally support growth without increasing inequalities and point out that they have significant potential to strengthen the inclusiveness and sustainability of growth.

Keywords: IMF-MONA, reforms, growth, inequality, A-ARDL Model

Vloženo: 30. prosinec 2023; Revidováno: 20. květen 2025; Přijato: 6. srpen 2025; Zveřejněno online: 4. březen 2026 

Stáhnout citaci

Reference

  1. Abiad, A., Mody, A. (2005). Financial reform: what shakes it? What shapes it?. The American Economic Review, 95(1), 66-88. https://doi.org/10.1257/0002828053828699 Přejít k původnímu zdroji...
  2. Acemoglu, D., Johnson, S., Robinson, J. A. (2005). Institutions as a fundamental cause of long-run growth. Handbook of economic growth, 1, 385-472. Přejít k původnímu zdroji...
  3. Adebayo, T. S., Kartal, M. T., Ağa, M., Al-Faryan, M. A. S. (2023a). Role of country risks and renewable energy consumption on environmental quality: Evidence from MINT countries. Journal of Environmental Management, 327, 116884. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jenvman.2022.116884 Přejít k původnímu zdroji...
  4. Adebayo, T. S., Özkan, O. (2024). Investigating the influence of socioeconomic conditions, renewable energy and eco-innovation on environmental degradation in the United States: A wavelet quantile-based analysis. Journal of cleaner production, 434, 140321. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2023.140321 Přejít k původnímu zdroji...
  5. Adebayo, T. S., Ullah, S., Kartal, M. T., Ali, K., Pata, U. K., Ağa, M. (2023b). Endorsing sustainable development in BRICS: The role of technological innovation, renewable energy consumption, and natural resources in limiting carbon emission. Science of the Total Environment, 859, 160181. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.160181 Přejít k původnímu zdroji...
  6. Agnello, L., Mallick, S. K., Sousa, R. M. (2012). Financial reforms and income inequality. Economics Letters, 116(3), 583-587. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econlet.2012.06.00 Přejít k původnímu zdroji...
  7. Alola, A. A., Adebayo, T. S. (2023). Analysing the waste management, industrial and agriculture greenhouse gas emissions of biomass, fossil fuel, and metallic ores utilization in Iceland. Science of The Total Environment, 887, 164115. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.164115 Přejít k původnímu zdroji...
  8. Ang, J. B., McKibbin, W. J. (2007). Financial Liberalization, Financial Sector Development and Growth: Evidence from Malaysia. Journal of Development Economics, 84(1), 215-233. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jdeveco.2006.11.006 Přejít k původnímu zdroji...
  9. Ari, A., Pula, G., Sun, L. (2022). Structural Reforms and Economic Growth: A Machine Learning Approach. IMF Working Papers, WP/22/184: 1-29. Přejít k původnímu zdroji...
  10. Barişik, S., Ergen, K. (2022). Analysis of The Political and Economic Determinants of IMF-Supported Reform Policies By Process Tracing: The Turkish Case. Journal of International Management, Educational and Economics Perspectives, 10(1), 72-83.
  11. Beck, T., Demirgüç-Kunt, A., Levine, R. (2007). Finance, Inequality and the Poor. Journal of Economic Growth, 12(1), 27-49. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10887-007-9010-6 Přejít k původnímu zdroji...
  12. Berg, A. G., Ostry, J. D. (2017). Inequality and unsustainable growth: two sides of the same coin?. IMF Economic Review, 65, 792-815. https://doi.org/10.1057/s41308-017-0030-8 Přejít k původnímu zdroji...
  13. Berg, A., Ostry, J. D., Tsangarides, C. G., Yakhshilikov, Y. (2018). Redistribution, inequality, and growth: new evidence. Journal of Economic Growth, 23, 259-305. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10887-017-9150-2 Přejít k původnímu zdroji...
  14. Botev, J., Égert, B., Turner, D. (2022). The effect of structural reforms: Do they differ between GDP and adjusted household disposable income?. International Journal of Economics and Finance, 14(12), 55-67. https://doi.org/10.5539/ijef.v14n12p55 Přejít k původnímu zdroji...
  15. Brancaccio, E., Garbellini, N., Giammetti, R. (2018). Structural labour market reforms, GDP growth and the functional distribution of income. Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, 44, 34-45. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.strueco.2017.09.001 Přejít k původnímu zdroji...
  16. Bumann, S., Lensink, R. (2016). Capital account liberalization and income inequality. Journal of International Money and Finance, 61, 143-162. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jimonfin.2015.10.004 Přejít k původnímu zdroji...
  17. Campagne, B., Poissonnier, A. (2018). Structural reforms in DSGE models: Output gains but welfare losses. Economic Modelling, 75, 397-421. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econmod.2018.07.016 Přejít k původnímu zdroji...
  18. Campos, N. F., De Grauwe, P., Ji, Y. (2017). Structural Reforms, Growth and Inequality: An Overview of Theory, Measurement and Evidence. IZA Institute of Labor Economic, Series IZA DP No. 11159. Přejít k původnímu zdroji...
  19. Causa, O., Hermansen, M., Ruiz, N. (2016). The distributional impact of structural reforms. OECD Economics Department Working Papers 1342.
  20. Chinn, M., Ito, H. (2008). A New Measure of Financial Openness. Journal of Comparative Policy Analysis, 10(3), 309-322. https://doi.org/10.1080/13876980802231123 Přejít k původnímu zdroji...
  21. Christiansen, L., Schindler, M., Tressel, T. (2013). Growth and Structural Reforms: A New Assessment. Journal of International Economics, 89, 347-356. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jinteco.2012.07.008 Přejít k původnímu zdroji...
  22. Correa, R. (2002). Structural Reforms and Economic Growth in Latin America: A Sensitivity Analysis. CEPAL Review, No:76, 87-104. Přejít k původnímu zdroji...
  23. Dickey, D. A., Fuller, W. A. (1979). Distribution of the estimators for autoregressive time series with a unit root. Journal of the American statistical association, 74(366a), 427-431. https://doi.org/10.1080/01621459.1979.10482531 Přejít k původnímu zdroji...
  24. Djalilov, K., Piesse, J. (2011). Financial Development and Growth in Transition Countries: A Study of Central Asia. Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, 47(6), 4-23. https://doi.org/10.2753/REE1540-496X470601 Přejít k původnímu zdroji...
  25. Duval, R., Furceri, D. (2018). The Effects of Labor and Product Market Reforms: The Role of Macroeconomic Conditions and Policies. IMF Econ Rev, 66, 31-69. https://doi.org/10.1057/s41308-017-0045-1 Přejít k původnímu zdroji...
  26. EBRD (2010). Transition Report 2010: Recovery and Reform, European Bank for Reconstruction and Development, 1-163. https://www.EBRD.com.
  27. Escaith, H., Morley, S. (2000). The Impact of Structural Reforms on Growth in Latin America and the Caribbean: An Empirical Estimation. CEPAL-SERIE Macroeconomia del Desarrollo, No. 1. Přejít k původnímu zdroji...
  28. Falcetti, E., Lysenko, T., Sanfey, P. (2006). Reforms and Growth in Transition: Re-Examining The Evidence. Journal of Comparative Economics, 34, 421-445. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jce.2006.06.008 Přejít k původnímu zdroji...
  29. Furceri, D., Loungani, P. (2015). Capital account liberalization and inequality. IMF-Working Papers WP/15/243. Přejít k původnímu zdroji...
  30. Gonzalez-Garcia, J., Yang, Y. (2022). The Effect of Trade on Market Power-Evidence From Developing Economies. The Journal of International Trade & Economic Development, 31(6), 811-834. https://doi.org/10.1080/09638199.2021.2022741 Přejít k původnímu zdroji...
  31. Gründler, K., Potrafke, N., Wochner, T. (2020). Structural Reforms and Income Inequality: Who Benefits from Market-Oriented Reforms?. CESifo Working Paper No. 8042. Přejít k původnímu zdroji...
  32. Gupta, S., Jalles, J. T. (2022). Do tax reforms affect income distribution? Evidence from developing countries. Economic Modelling, 110, 105804. 1-18. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econmod.2022.105804 Přejít k původnímu zdroji...
  33. Haan, J., Wiese, R. (2022). The Impact of Product and Labour Market Reform on Growth: Evidence for OECD Countries Based on Local Projections. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 1-25. https://doi.org/10.1002/jae.2890 Přejít k původnímu zdroji...
  34. Haidar, J. I. (2012). The Impact of Business Regulatory Reforms on Economic Growth, Journal of The Japanese and International Economies, 26, 285-307. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jjie.2012.05.004 Přejít k původnímu zdroji...
  35. Ilzkovitz, F., Dierx, A. (2011). Structural Reforms: A European Perspective. Reflets et Perspectives de la vie économique, 50(3),13-26. https://doi.org/10.3917/rpve.503.0013 Přejít k původnímu zdroji...
  36. IMF (2015). Structural Reforms and Macroeconomic Performance: Initial Considerations For The Fund. International Monetary Fund Policy Papers, http://www.imf.org. Přejít k původnímu zdroji...
  37. IMF-MONA (2022), Monitoring of Fund Arrangements (MONA) Database, https://www.imf.org.
  38. Josifidis, K., Supic, N., Bodor, S. (2020). Institutional reforms and income distribution: Evidence from post-transition EU countries. Panoeconomicus, 67(3), 309-331. https://doi.org/10.2298/PAN2003309J Přejít k původnímu zdroji...
  39. Kamasa, K., Nortey, D. N., Boateng, F., Bonuedi, I. (2022). Impact of Tax Reforms on Revenue Mobilisation in Developing Economies: Empirical Evidence From Ghana. Journal of Economic and Administrative Sciences, 1-15. https://doi.org/10.1108/JEAS-01-2022-0011 Přejít k původnímu zdroji...
  40. Khan, M. A., Qayyum, A. (2006). Trade Liberalization, Financial Sector Reforms and Growth. MPRA, Munich Personal RePEc Archive, No:2655. Přejít k původnímu zdroji...
  41. Kouamé W. A., Tapsoba, S. J. A. (2019). Structural Reforms and Firms' Productivity: Evidence from Developing Countries. World Development. 113, 157-171. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.worlddev.2018.09.005 Přejít k původnímu zdroji...
  42. Lora, E., Barrera, F. (1997). A Decade of Structural Reform in Latin America: Growth, Productivity, and Investment Are Not What They Used to be. Inter American Development Bank Office of the Chief Economist Working Paper, Green Series, No: 350. Přejít k původnímu zdroji...
  43. Marrazzo, P. M., Terzi, A. (2017). Structural Reform Waves and Economic Growth. Europen Central Bank Working Paper, No: 2111. Přejít k původnímu zdroji...
  44. Mays, N., Pope, C. (2000). Qualitative research in health care, assessing quality in qualitative research. BMJ, 320, 50-52. https://www.bmj.com/content/320/7226/50.1#:~:text=doi%3A%20https%3A//doi.org/10.1136/bmj.320.7226.50 Přejít k původnímu zdroji...
  45. McNown, R., Sam, C.Y., Goh, S. K. (2018). Bootstrapping the autoregressive distributed lag test for cointegration. Appl. Econ, 50(13), 1509-1521. https://doi.org/10.1080/00036846.2017.1366643 Přejít k původnímu zdroji...
  46. Mizutani, F., Tanaka, T., Nakayama, N., Uranishi, S. (2020). Structural reform of the electricity industry and economic growth. Journal of Economic Policy Reform, 23(2), 184-208. https://doi.org/10.1080/17487870.2018.1469985 Přejít k původnímu zdroji...
  47. Morley, S. A. (2000). The effects of growth and economic reform on income distribution in Latin America. Cepal Review. 71, 23-40. Přejít k původnímu zdroji...
  48. Morley, S., A., Machado, R., Pettinato, S. (1999). Indexes of Structural Reform in Latin America, Serie Reformas Económicas, No:2.
  49. Narayan, P. K. (2005). The saving and investment nexus for China: evidence from cointegration tests. Applied economics, 37(17), 1979-1990. https://doi.org/10.1080/00036840500278103 Přejít k původnímu zdroji...
  50. Nardo, M., Saisana, M. Saltelli, A. Tarantola, S. Hoffman, A., Giovannini, E. (2005). Handbook on constructing composite indicators: Methodology and user guide. OECD statistics working papers, No. 2005/03. Přejít k původnímu zdroji...
  51. Neuendorf, K. A. (2002). The Content Analysis Guidebook. London: Sage Publications.
  52. Nicoletti, G., Scarpetta, S. (2003). Regulation, Productivity and Growth: OECD Evidence. Economic Policy, 18(36), 9-72. https://doi.org/10.1111/1468-0327.00102 Přejít k původnímu zdroji...
  53. Obamuyi, T., Olorunfemi, S. (2011). Financial Reforms, Interest Rate Behaviour and Economic Growth in Nigeria. Journal of Applied Finance & Banking, 1(4), 39-55.
  54. Official Gazette of the Presidency of the Republic of Turkey (n.d.). Available at: https://www.resmigazete.gov.tr/Ormaechea, M. S. A., Komatsuzaki, M. T., Correa-Caro, C. (2017). Fiscal reforms, long-term growth and income inequality. International Monetary Fund. IMF Working Paper WP/17/145. Přejít k původnímu zdroji...
  55. Ostry J. D., Prati, A., Spilimbergo, A. (2009). Structural Reforms and Economic Performance in Advanced and Developing Countries. IMF Occasional Papers, No:268, 1-53.
  56. Ostry, J. D., Berg, A., Kothari, S. (2021). Growth-equity trade-offs in structural reforms. Scottish Journal of Political Economy, 68(2), 209-237. https://doi.org/10.1111/sjpe.12265 Přejít k původnímu zdroji...
  57. Owusu, E., Odhiambo, N.M. (2015). Financial Sector Reforms and Economic Growth in Ghana: A Dynamic ARDL Model, Contemporary Economics, 9(2), 181-192. https://doi.org/0.5709/ce.1897-9254.166 Přejít k původnímu zdroji...
  58. Özkan, O., Eweade, B. S., Adebayo, T. S. (2024). Examining the effects of energy efficiency R&D and renewable energy on environmental sustainability amidst political risk in France. Politická ekonomie, 72(2), 331-356. https://doi.org/10.18267/j.polek.1437 Přejít k původnímu zdroji...
  59. Pedroni, P. (2000). Fully-Modified OLS for Heterogeneous Cointegrated Panels. Advances in Econometrics, 15, 93-130. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0731-9053(00)15004-2 Přejít k původnímu zdroji...
  60. Perron, P. (1989). The Great Crash, The Oil Price Shock, and The Unit Root Hypothesis. Econometrica, 57(6), 361-1401. https://doi.org/10.2307/1913712 Přejít k původnímu zdroji...
  61. Pesaran, M.H., Shin, Y., Smith, R.J. (2001). Bounds testing approaches to the analysis of level relationships. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 16(3), 289-326. https://doi.org/10.1002/jae.616 Přejít k původnímu zdroji...
  62. Phillips, P. C., Perron, P. (1988). Testing for a unit root in time series regression. biometrika, 75(2), 335-346. Přejít k původnímu zdroji...
  63. Quinn, D. (1997). The Correlates of Change in International Financial Regulation, American Political Science Review, 91(3), 531-551. https://doi.org/10.2307/2952073 Přejít k původnímu zdroji...
  64. Roeger, W., Varga, J., in't Veld, J., Vogel, L. (2021). The distributional impact of labour market reforms: A model-based assessment. European Economic Review, 131, 103638.1-17. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.euroecorev.2020.103638 Přejít k původnímu zdroji...
  65. Sachs, J. D., Warner, A. (1995). Economic Reform and the Process of Global Integration. Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, 1, 1-118. https://doi.org/10.2307/2534573 Přejít k původnímu zdroji...
  66. Sam, C. Y., McNown, R., Goh, S.K. (2019). An augmented autoregressive distributed lag bounds test for cointegration. Economic Modelling, 80, 130-141. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econmod.2018.11.001 Přejít k původnímu zdroji...
  67. Sarker, B., Khan, F. (2020). Nexus between foreign direct investment and economic growth in Bangladesh: an augmented autoregressive distributed lag bounds testing approach. Financial Innovation, 6, 1-18. https://doi.org/10.1186/s40854-019-0164-y Přejít k původnímu zdroji...
  68. Wiese, R., Jalles, J. T., De-Haan, J. (2023). Structural Reforms and Income Distribution: New Evidence for OECD Countries. REM Working Paper 0256-2022. Přejít k původnímu zdroji...
  69. World Bank (2020). Doing Business 2020 Comparing Business Regulation in 190 Economies, 1-147.
  70. Yalçinkaya, Ö., Daştan, M., Karabulut, K. (2021). The Impact of Structural Reforms on Economic Growth in Turkey: Evidence from Linear and Nonlinear ARDL Modeling. Estudios de Economía, 48(1), 59-87.
  71. Yeldan, E. (2001). Turkish economy in the process of globalization. Istanbul: Communication Publishing.
  72. Yu, J. S., Hassan, M. K., Mamun, A., Hassan, A. (2014). Financial Sectors Reform and Economic Growth in Morocco: An Empirical Analysis, Journal of Emerging Market Finance, 13(1) 69-102. https://doi.org/10.1177/0972652714534025 Přejít k původnímu zdroji...
  73. Zivot, E., Andrews, D. W. K. (1992). Further Evidence on The Great Crash, The Oil-Price Shock, and The Unit-Root Hypothesis. Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, 10(3): 251-270. https://doi.org/10.1198/073500102753410372 Přejít k původnímu zdroji...

Tento článek je publikován v režimu tzv. otevřeného přístupu k vědeckým informacím (Open Access), který je distribuován pod licencí Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License (CC BY NC ND 4.0), která umožňuje nekomerční distribuci, reprodukci a změny, pokud je původní dílo řádně ocitováno. Není povolena distribuce, reprodukce nebo změna, která není v souladu s podmínkami této licence.