Politická ekonomie 2026, 74(3):464-489 | DOI: 10.18267/j.polek.1496
Future of Digital Economy: How Research and Development Can Address the Digital Divide Amid Resource Constraints
- Tomiwa Sunday Adebayo, Irfan Suat Gunsel Operational Research Institute, Near East University, TRNC Mersin, Turkey; University of Economics and Human Sciences, Warsaw, Poland; Research Centre of Development Economics, State University of Economics (UNEC), Baku, Azerbaijan
The digital economy is unquestionably a globally recognized priority among countries, yet comprehensive scholarly discussions on the specific determinants driving its growth remain relatively limited. To fill this gap, the present study pioneers an investigation into how research and development, natural resources and economic policy uncertainty influence the digital economy in the United States of America (USA), using data from 1996Q1 to 2020Q4. Given the nonlinear and non-normal distribution of the data, the study employs a series of quantile-based approaches, particularly the wavelet quantile-on-quantile regression (WQQR). The results of the WQQR reveal that research and development, globalization, economic growth and economic policy uncertainty positively affect the digital economy, while the abundance of natural resources appears to hinder its growth. Based on these findings, policymakers in the USA should prioritize fostering innovation through R&D while addressing the challenges associated with natural resource dependence to drive the growth of the digital economy.
Keywords: Digital economy, research and development, natural resources, economic policy uncertainty
JEL classification: E60, O30, O33, Q32, Q33
Received: July 24, 2024; Revised: November 26, 2024; Accepted: February 12, 2025; Prepublished online: November 12, 2025; Published: June 22, 2026 Show citation
References
- Acemoglu, D., Aghion, P., Zilibotti, F. (2006). Distance to Frontier, Selection, and Economic Growth. Journal of the European Economic Association, 4(1), 37-74. https://doi.org/10.1162/jeea.2006.4.1.37
Go to original source... - Alam, M. B., Hossain, M. S. (2024). Investigating the connections between China's economic growth, use of renewable energy, and research and development concerning CO2 emissions: An ARDL Bound Test Approach. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 201, 123220. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123220
Go to original source... - Ali, K., Jianguo, D., Kirikkaleli, D., et al. (2023). Do green technological innovation, financial development, economic policy uncertainty, and institutional quality matter for environmental sustainability? All Earth, 35(1), 82-101. https://doi.org/10.1080/27669645.2023.2200330
Go to original source... - Alola, A. A., Özkan, O., Usman, O. (2023). Examining crude oil price outlook amidst substitute energy price and household energy expenditure in the USA: A novel nonparametric multivariate QQR approach. Energy Economics, 120, 106613. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eneco.2023.106613
Go to original source... - Badeeb, R. A., Lean, H. H., Clark, J. (2017). The evolution of the natural resource curse thesis: A critical literature survey. Resources Policy, 51, 123-134. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.resourpol.2016.10.015
Go to original source... - Baker, S. R., Bloom, N., Davis, S. J. (2016). Measuring Economic Policy Uncertainty. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 131(4), 1593-1636. https://doi.org/10.1093/qje/qjw024
Go to original source... - Balsalobre-Lorente, D., Shahbaz, M., Roubaud, D., et al. (2018). How economic growth, renewable electricity and natural resources contribute to CO2 emissions? Energy Policy, 113, 356-367. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2017.10.050
Go to original source... - Bilgili, F., Balsalobre-Lorente, D., Kuşkaya, S., et al. (2023). Are research and development on energy efficiency and energy sources effective in the level of CO2 emissions? Fresh evidence from EU data. Environment, Development and Sustainability, 26, 24183-24219. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10668-023-03641-y
Go to original source... - Brock, W. A., Scheinkman, J. A., Dechert, W. D., LeBaron, B. (1996). A test for independence based on the correlation dimension. Econometric Reviews, 15(3), 197-235. https://doi.org/10.1080/07474939608800353
Go to original source... - Brynjolfsson, E., McAfee, A. (2014). The Second Machine Age: Work, Progress, and Prosperity in a Time of Brilliant Technologies. New York: W. W. Norton & Company.
- Cheng, Y., Awan, U., Ahmad, S., et al. (2021). How do technological innovation and fiscal decentralization affect the environment? A story of the fourth industrial revolution and sustainable growth. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 162, 120398. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2020.120398
Go to original source... - Cheng, Z., Masron, T. A. (2023). Economic policy uncertainty and corporate digital transformation: Evidence from China. Applied Economics, 55(40), 4625-4641. https://doi.org/10.1080/00036846.2022.2130148
Go to original source... - Danish, Hassan, S. T. (2023). Investigating the interaction effect of urbanization and natural resources on environmental sustainability in Pakistan. International Journal of Environmental Science and Technology, 20(8), 8477-8484. https://doi.org/10.1007/s13762-022-04497-x
Go to original source... - Economic Policy Uncertainty (2023). US EPU (Monthly, Daily, Categorical). [Retrieved 2024-07-24]. Available at: https://www.policyuncertainty.com/us_monthly.html
- Fan, X. (2021). Digital Economy Development, International Trade Efficiency and Trade Uncertainty. China Finance and Economic Review, 10(3), 89-110. https://doi.org/10.1515/cfer-2021-0018
Go to original source... - Geroski, P. A. (2000). Models of technology diffusion. Research Policy, 29(4), 603-625. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0048-7333(99)00092-X
Go to original source... - Global Change Data Lab (2024). Our World in Data. [Retrieved 2024-07-24]. Available at: https://ourworldindata.org/
- Handley, K., Limão, N. (2017). Policy Uncertainty, Trade, and Welfare: Theory and Evidence for China and the United States. American Economic Review, 107(9), 2731-2783. https://doi.org/10.1257/aer.20141419
Go to original source... - Jia, W., Collins, A., Liu, W. (2023). Digitalization and economic growth in the new classical and new structural economics perspectives. Digital Economy and Sustainable Development, 1(1), 5. https://doi.org/10.1007/s44265-023-00007-0
Go to original source... - Litvinenko, V. S. (2020). Digital Economy as a Factor in the Technological Development of the Mineral Sector. Natural Resources Research, 29(3), 1521-1541. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11053-019-09568-4
Go to original source... - Liu, H., Chen, D. (2024). Asymmetrical impact of natural resources and the digital economy on green growth in the top five Asian knowledge-based economies. Resources Policy, 88, 104525. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.resourpol.2023.104525
Go to original source... - Liu, X., Qian, K., Huo, X., et al. (2024). The impact of digital government on natural resource utilization efficiency. Resources Policy, 93, 105049. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.resourpol.2024.105049
Go to original source... - Ma, Q., Mentel, G., Zhao, X., et al. (2022). Natural resources tax volatility and economic performance: Evaluating the role of digital economy. Resources Policy, 75, 102510. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.resourpol.2021.102510
Go to original source... - OECD (2023). Patents on environment technologies. [Retrieved 2024-07-24]. Available at: https://data.oecd.org/envpolicy/patents-on-environment-technologies.htm
- Ozkan, O., Eweade, B. S., Usman, O. (2024). Assessing the impact of resource efficiency, renewable energy R&D spending, and green technologies on environmental sustainability in Germany: Evidence from a Wavelet Quantile-on-Quantile Regression. Journal of Cleaner Production, 450, 141992. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2024.141992
Go to original source... - Pata, U. K., Akadiri, S. S., Adebayo, T. S. (2022). A comparison of CO2 emissions, load capacity factor, and ecological footprint for Thailand's environmental sustainability. Environment, Development and Sustainability, 26, 2203-2223. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10668-022-02810-9
Go to original source... - Percival, D. B., Walden, A. T. (2000). Wavelet Methods for Time Series Analysis. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. ISBN 9780521640688.
Go to original source... - Ran, Q., Yang, X., Yan, H., et al. (2023). Natural resource consumption and industrial green transformation: Does the digital economy matter? Resources Policy, 81, 103396. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.resourpol.2023.103396
Go to original source... - Salman, D., Ismael, D. (2023). The effect of digital financial inclusion on the green economy: The case of Egypt. Journal of Economics and Development, 25(2), 120-133. https://doi.org/10.1108/JED-05-2022-0087
Go to original source... - Shaobin, G., Ahmad, K., Khan, N. U. (2024). Natural resources, geopolitical conflicts, and digital trade: Evidence from China. Resources Policy, 90, 104708. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.resourpol.2024.104708
Go to original source... - Sim, N., Zhou, H. (2015). Oil prices, US stock return, and the dependence between their quantiles. Journal of Banking & Finance, 55, 1-8. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbankfin.2015.01.013
Go to original source... - Song, Y., Gong, Y., Song, Y. (2024). The impact of digital financial development on the green economy: An analysis based on a volatility perspective. Journal of Cleaner Production, 434, 140051. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2023.140051
Go to original source... - Teece, D. J. (2018). Profiting from innovation in the digital economy: Enabling technologies, standards, and licensing models in the wireless world. Research Policy, 47(8), 1367-1387. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.respol.2017.01.015
Go to original source... - Venables, A. J. (2016). Using Natural Resources for Development: Why Has It Proven So Difficult? Journal of Economic Perspectives, 30(1), 161-184. https://doi.org/10.1257/jep.30.1.161
Go to original source... - WB (2023). World Development Indicators. [Retrieved 2024-07-24]. Available at: https://data.worldbank.org/country/china
- Zhang, M., Abbasi, K. R., Inuwa, N., et al. (2023). Does economic policy uncertainty, energy transition and ecological innovation affect environmental degradation in the United States? Economic Research-Ekonomska Istraľivanja, 36(2), 2177698. https://doi.org/10.1080/1331677X.2023.2177698
Go to original source... - Zheng, Y., Gong, B. (2024). Nexus between natural resources and digital economy: The role of geopolitical risk. Resources Policy, 89, 104600. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.resourpol.2023.104600
Go to original source... - Zia, N. U., Shamim, S., Zeng, J., et al. (2023). Avoiding crisis-driven business failure through digital dynamic capabilities. B2B distribution firms during the COVID-19 and beyond. Industrial Marketing Management, 113, 14-29. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.indmarman.2023.05.015
Go to original source... - Zou, Q., Wu, Q., Wang, J. (2024). Is natural resources curse possible under the digitalization? A loon on top digitalized economies. Resources Policy, 92, 104913. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.resourpol.2024.104913
Go to original source...
This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License (CC BY NC ND 4.0), which permits non-comercial use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original publication is properly cited. No use, distribution or reproduction is permitted which does not comply with these terms.

ORCID...