Politická ekonomie 2025, 73(1):88-124 | DOI: 10.18267/j.polek.1445

Examining the Impacts of GDP, Trade Openness, Freedom Index and the Internet on FDI: Comparison of Countries with Panel ARDL

Tuğba Güz ORCID..., Coşkun Parim ORCID..., Erhan Çene ORCID...
Tuğba Güz, Istanbul Yeni Yuzyil University, Department of Healthcare Management, Istanbul, Turkey
Coşkun Parim, Yildiz Technical University, Department of Statistics, Istanbul, Turkey
Erhan Çene, Yildiz Technical University, Department of Statistics, Istanbul, Turkey

The main purpose of this study is to examine the impacts of GDP, trade openness, the freedom index and the internet on FDI in 54 countries, including developing, transition and developed countries, over the period 1995-2021. First, the variables affecting FDI are determined. Then, first- and second-generation unit root tests are conducted for panel data to investigate stationarity. Finally, long- and short-run relationships between variables that have an effect on FDI are exhibited with panel cointegration tests and panel ARDL analysis. Among 17 candidate variables, internet, GDP, the freedom index and trade openness are determined to affect FDI. GDP, the internet and the freedom index have a significant positive and trade openness has a significant negative relationship with FDI in the short run. Finally, there is a long-term equilibrium between FDI and all the variables. Trade openness also has negative coefficient in developing countries such as China, Brazil and Turkey. This is a unique study in which empirical findings are given for each country with the PMG model, which would aid the policy implications identified for the 54 countries, including developing, transition and developed countries.

Keywords: Foreign direct investment, GDP, trade openness, freedom index, internet, panel ARDL, JEL Codes: C01, C10, C22, C58, F40,
JEL classification: C01, C10, C22, C58

Received: January 8, 2024; Revised: April 30, 2024; Accepted: May 27, 2024; Published: February 17, 2025  Show citation

ACS AIP APA ASA Harvard Chicago Chicago Notes IEEE ISO690 MLA NLM Turabian Vancouver
Güz, T., Parim, C., & Çene, E. (2025). Examining the Impacts of GDP, Trade Openness, Freedom Index and the Internet on FDI: Comparison of Countries with Panel ARDL. Politická ekonomie73(1), 88-124. doi: 10.18267/j.polek.1445
Download citation

References

  1. Agiomirgianakis, G. M., Asteriou, D., Papathoma, K. (2003). The determinants of foreign direct investment: A panel data study for the OECD countries. Working Papers 03/06, Department of Economics, City University London.
  2. Alesina, A., Wacziarg, R. (1998). Openness, country size and government. Journal of Public Economics, 69(3), 305-321. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S0047-2727(98)00010-3 Go to original source...
  3. Alfaro, L. (2003). Foreign direct investment and growth: Does the sector matter. Harvard Business School, 1-31.
  4. Anyanwu, J. C. (2011). Determinants of foreign direct investment inflows to Africa, 1980-2007. Working Paper Series 327, African Development Bank.
  5. Arawomo, O., Apanisile, J. F. (2018). Determinants of foreign direct investment in the Nigerian telecommunication sector. Modern Economy, 9, 907-923. https:// doi.org/10.4236/me.2018.95058 Go to original source...
  6. Aromasodun, O. M. (2022). Determinants of FDI inflows to West Africa: Prospects for regional development and globalization. BRICS Journal of Economics, 3(1), 27-51. https://doi.org/10.3897/brics-econ.3.e83129 Go to original source...
  7. Arvin, M. B., Pradhan, R. P., Nair, M. (2021). Uncovering interlinks among ICT connectivity and penetration, trade openness, foreign direct investment, and economic growth: The case of the G-20 countries. Telematics and Informatics, 60, 101567. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tele.2021.101567 Go to original source...
  8. Asafo-Agyei, G., Kodongo, O. (2022). Foreign direct investment and economic growth in Sub-Saharan Africa: A nonlinear analysis. Economic Systems, 46(4), 101003. https://doi.org/:10.1016/j.ecosys.2022.101003 Go to original source...
  9. Asghari, M., Hilmi, N., Safa, A. (2014). FDI effects on economic growth: The role of natural resource and environmental policy. Topics in Middle Eastern and North African Economies, 16.
  10. Asiamah, M., Ofori, D., Afful, J. (2019). Analysis of the determinants of foreign direct investment in Ghana. Journal of Asian Business and Economic Studies, 26(1), 56-75. https://doi.org/10.1108/JABES-08-2018-0057 Go to original source...
  11. Asongu, S. A., Odhiambo, N. M. (2020). Foreign direct investment, information technology and economic growth dynamics in Sub-Saharan Africa. Telecommunications Policy, 44(1), 101838. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.telpol.2019.101838 Go to original source...
  12. Attard, J. (2019). Public Debt and Economic Growth nexus: A Dynamic Panel ARDL approach. MPRA Paper 96023.
  13. Azam, M., Haseeb, M. (2021). Determinants of foreign direct investment in BRICS-does renewable and non-renewable energy matter? Energy Strategy Reviews, 35, 100638. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.esr.2021.100638 Go to original source...
  14. Baiashvili, T., Gattini, L. (2020). Impact of FDI on economic growth: The role of country income levels and institutional strength. EIB Working Paper, 2020/02, 16. https://doi.org/10.2867/846546 Go to original source...
  15. Barro, R., Sala-i-Martin, X. (2004). Economic growth second edition. Cambridge MA: MIT Press. ISBN: 9780262025539.
  16. Borensztein, E., De Gregorio, J., Lee, J.-W. (1998). How does foreign direct investment affect economic growth? Journal of International Economics, 45(1), 115-135. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0022-1996(97)00033-0 Go to original source...
  17. Caetano, J., Caleiro, A. (2009). Economic Freedom and Foreign Direct Investment-How different are the MENA countries from the EU? iBusiness, 1, 65-74. https://doi.org/10.4236/ib.2009.12010. Go to original source...
  18. Cantah, G. W., Brafu-Insaidoo, G. W., Wiafe, E. A., Adams, A. (2018). FDI and trade policy openness in Sub-Saharan Africa. Eastern Economic Journal, 44, 97-116. https://doi.org/10.1057/eej.2016.9 Go to original source...
  19. Choi, I. (2001). Unit root tests for panel data. Journal of International Money and Finance, 20(2), 249-272. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0261-5606(00)00048-6 Go to original source...
  20. Choi, C. (2003). Does the Internet stimulate inward foreign direct investment? Journal of Policy Modeling, 25(4), 319-326. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0161-8938(02)00202-8 Go to original source...
  21. Cohen, S. D. (2007). Multinational corporations and foreign direct investment. Oxford: Oxford University Press. ISBN: 9780195179361. Go to original source...
  22. Dankyi, A. B., Abban, O. J., Yusheng, K., Coulibaly, T. P. (2022). Human capital, foreign direct investment, and economic growth: Evidence from ECOWAS in a decomposed income level panel. Environmental Challenges, 9, 100602. https://doi.org/ 10.1016/j.envc.2022.100602 Go to original source...
  23. Economou, F., Hassapis, C., Philippas, N., Tsionas, M. (2017). Foreign Direct Investment Determinants in OECD and Developing Countries. Review of Development Economics, 21(3), 527-542. https://doi.org/10.1111/rode.12269 Go to original source...
  24. Fry, M. J. (1993). Foreign Direct Investment in a Macroeconomic Framework: Finance, Efficiency, Incentives, and Distortions. Policy Research Working Papers No. WPS 1141. Washington, D.C.: World Bank. Available at: http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/927341468762342776/Foreign-direct-investment-in-a-macroeconomic-framework-finance-efficiency-incentives-and-distortions
  25. Grossman, G. M., Helpman, E. (1993). Innovation and growth in the global economy. Cambridge MA: MIT press. ISBN: 9780262570978.
  26. Gupta, P., Singh, A. (2016). Determinants of foreign direct investment inflows in BRICS nations: A panel data analysis. Emerging Economy Studies, 2(2), 181-198. https://doi.org/DOI:10.1177/2394901516661095 Go to original source...
  27. Hassan, M. K. (2005). FDI, information technology and economic growth in the MENA region. 10th ERF Paper [Retrieved 2019-02-21] . Available at: http://www.mafhoum.com/press6/171t42.pdf.
  28. Hermes, N., & Lensink, R. (2003). Foreign direct investment, financial development and economic growth. The Journal of Development Studies, 40(1), 142-163. https://doi.org/10.1080/00220380412331293707 Go to original source...
  29. Hoang, H., Bui, D. (2015). Determinants of foreign direct investment in ASEAN: A panel approach. Management Science Letters, 5(2), 213-222. https://doi.org/10.5267/j.msl.2014.12.015 Go to original source...
  30. Im, K. S., Pesaran, M. H., Shin, Y. (2003). Testing for unit roots in heterogeneous panels. Journal of Econometrics, 115(1), 53-74. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0304-4076(03)00092-7 Go to original source...
  31. Jadhav, P. (2012). Determinants of foreign direct investment in BRICS economies: Analysis of economic, institutional and political factor. Procedia-Social and Behavioral Sciences, 37, 5-14. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.sbspro.2012.03.270 Go to original source...
  32. Jones, J., Wren, C. (2006). Foreign Direct Investment and the Regional Economy. Aldershot, Hampshire, UK: Ashgate Publishing.
  33. Jonsson, G., Subramanian, A. (2001). Dynamic gains from trade: Evidence from South Africa. IMF Staff Papers, 48(1), 197-224. Go to original source...
  34. Kandiero, T., Chitiga, M. (2006). Trade openness and foreign direct investment in Africa: economics. South African Journal of Economic and Management Sciences, 9(3), 355-370. https://doi.org/DOI:10.4102/sajems.v9i3.1093 Go to original source...
  35. Kao, C. (1999). Spurious regression and residual-based tests for cointegration in panel data. Journal of Econometrics, 90(1), 1-44. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0304-4076(98)00023-2 Go to original source...
  36. Keller, W. (2004). International technology diffusion. Journal of Economic Literature, 42(3), 752-782. http://www.jstor.org/stable/3217250 Go to original source...
  37. Kenh, S., Wei, Q. (2023). Industrial impact analysis of foreign direct investment on economic development in Cambodia. Journal of Business and Socio-economic Development, 5(1), 2-18. https://doi.org/10.1108/JBSED-11-2022-0120 Go to original source...
  38. Latief, R., Lefen, L. (2019). Foreign direct investment in the power and energy sector, energy consumption, and economic growth: Empirical evidence from Pakistan. Sustainability, MDPI, 11(1), 192. Go to original source...
  39. Le, H. T., Kim, J., Lee, M. (2015). Institutional quality, trade openness, and financial development in Asia: An empirical investigation. Asian Development Bank Economics Working Paper Series, 452. Go to original source...
  40. Levin, A., Lin, C.-F., James Chu, C.-S. (2002). Unit root tests in panel data: asymptotic and finite-sample properties. Journal of Econometrics, 108(1), 1-24. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0304-4076(01)00098-7 Go to original source...
  41. Lumbila, N. K. (2005). What Makes FDI Work? A Panel Analysis of the Growth Effect of FDI in Africa. Africa Region Working Paper Series No.80, 1-34. Available at: https://documents1.worldbank.org/curated/pt/108751468002680983/pdf/331190PAPER0wp80.pdf
  42. Mamingi, N., Martin, K. (2018). Foreign direct investment and growth in developing countries: Evidence from the countries of the Organisation of Eastern Caribbean States. CEPAL Review, 124, 79-98. https://doi.org/10.18356/e270b670-en Go to original source...
  43. Mingyong, L., Shuijun, P., Qun, B. (2006). Technology spillovers, absorptive capacity and economic growth. China Economic Review, 17(3), 300-320. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.chieco.2006.04.005 Go to original source...
  44. Ngo, M. N., Cao, H. H., Nguyen, L. N., Nguyen, T. N. (2020). Determinants of foreign direct investment: Evidence from Vietnam. The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business, 7(6), 173-183. https://doi.org/10.13106/jafeb.2020.vol7.no6.173 Go to original source...
  45. Ndikumana, L., Verick, S. (2008). The Linkages Between FDI and Domestic Investment: Unravelling the Developmental Impact of Foreign Investment in Sub-Saharan Africa. Development Policy Review, 26 (6), 713-726. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-7679.2008.00430.x Go to original source...
  46. Nowbusting, B. (2009). FDI, Domestic Investment and Economic Growth: A Theoretical Framework. Globelics - 7th International Conference on Inclusive Growth, Innovation and Technological Change: Education. Social Capital and Sustainable Development. Senegal: UNU-Merit.
  47. OECD (2009). OECD benchmark definition of foreign direct investment 2008. Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development.
  48. Pedroni, P. (1999). Critical Values for Cointegration Tests in Heterogeneous Panels with Multiple Regressors. Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 61(S1), 653-670. https://doi.org/10.1111/1468-0084.0610s1653 Go to original source...
  49. Pedroni, P. (2004). Panel Cointegration: Asymptotic and Finite Sample Properties of Pooled Time Series Tests with an Application to the PPP Hypothesis. Econometric Theory, 20(3), 597-625. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0266466604203073 Go to original source...
  50. Pesaran, M. H. (1997). The Role of Economic Theory in Modelling the Long Run. The Economic Journal, 107(440), 178-191. https://doi.org/10.1111/1468-0297.00151 Go to original source...
  51. Pesaran, M. H. (2006). Estimation and inference in large heterogeneous panels with a multifactor error structure. Econometrica, 74(4), 967-1012. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1468-0262.2006.00692.x Go to original source...
  52. Pesaran, M. H. (2007). A simple panel unit root test in the presence of cross-section dependence. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 22(2), 265-312. https://doi.org/10.1002/jae.951 Go to original source...
  53. Pesaran, M. H. (2021). General diagnostic tests for cross-sectional dependence in panels. Empirical Economics, 60(1), 13-50. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00181-020-01875-7 Go to original source...
  54. Pesaran, M. H., Shin, Y., Smith, R. J. (2001). Bounds Testing Approaches to the Analysis of Level Relationships. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 16(3), 289-326. http://www.jstor.org/stable/2678547 Go to original source...
  55. Pesaran, M. H., Shin, Y., Smith, R. P. (1999). Pooled Mean Group Estimation of Dynamic Heterogeneous Panels. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 94(446), 621-634. https://doi.org/10.1080/01621459.1999.10474156 Go to original source...
  56. Pesaran, M. H., Smith, R. (1995). Estimating long-run relationships from dynamic heterogeneous panels. Journal of Econometrics, 68(1), 79-113. https://doi.org/10.1016/0304-4076(94)01644-F Go to original source...
  57. Ranjan, V., Agrawal, G. (2024). FDI inflow determinants in BRIC countries: A panel data analysis. International Business Research, 4(4), 255. https://doi.org/10.5539/ibr.v4n4p255 Go to original source...
  58. Rathnayaka Mudiyanselage, M. M., Epuran, G., Tescașiu, B. (2021). Causal links between trade openness and foreign direct investment in Romania. Journal of Risk and Financial Management, 14(3), 90. https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm14030090 Go to original source...
  59. Romer, P. M. (1990). Endogenous technological change. Journal of Political Economy, 98(5), 71-102. https://doi.org/10.1086/261725 Go to original source...
  60. Saini, N., Singhania, M. (2018). Determinants of FDI in developed and developing countries: A quantitative analysis using GMM. Journal of Economic Studies, 45(3). https://doi.org/10.1108/JES-07-2016-0138 Go to original source...
  61. Singh, D., Gal, Z. (2020). Economic freedom and its impact on foreign direct investment: Global overview. Review of Economic Perspectives, 20(1), 73-90. https://doi.org/10.2478/revecp-2020-0004 Go to original source...
  62. Solow, R. M. (1957). Technical change and the aggregate production function. The Review of Economics and Statistics, 39(3), 312-320. https://doi.org/10.2307/1926047 Go to original source...
  63. Sookram, S., Hosein, R., Boodram, L., Saridakis, G. (2022). Determining Factors of FDI Flows to Selected Caribbean Countries. Journal of Risk and Financial Management 15(2), 48. https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm15020048 Go to original source...
  64. Sunde, T. (2017). Foreign direct investment, exports and economic growth: ARDL and causality analysis for South Africa. Research in International Business and Finance, 41(C) 434-444. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ribaf.2017.04.035 Go to original source...
  65. Tag, M. N., Degirmen, S. (2022). Economic freedom and foreign direct investment: Are they related? Economic Analysis and Policy, 73, 737-752. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eap.2021.12.020 Go to original source...
  66. UNCTAD (2019). World Investment Report 2019. New York: United Nations.
  67. UNCTAD (2022). World Investment Report 2022 (Vol. 11). New York: United Nations.
  68. Westerlund, J. (2007). Testing for error correction in panel data. Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 69(6), 709-748. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1468-0084.2007.00477.x Go to original source...
  69. Wehncke, F. C., Marozva, G., Makoni, P.L. (2022). Economic Growth, Foreign Direct Investments and Official Development Assistance Nexus: Panel ARDL Approach. Economies 11(4), 4. https://doi.org/10.3390/economies11010004 Go to original source...
  70. World Bank (2018). The human capital project. Washington: World Bank Publications. Go to original source...
  71. Yin, Z. H., Choi, C. H. (2022). Has the Internet increased FDI, economic growth, and trade? Evidence from Asian economies. Information Development, 38(2), 192-203. https://doi.org/10.1177/0266666921999749 Go to original source...
  72. Zghidi, N., Mohamed Sghaier, I., Abida, Z. (2016). Does economic freedom enhance the impact of foreign direct investment on economic growth in North African countries? A panel data analysis. African Development Review, 28(1), 64-74. https://doi.org/10.1111/1467-8268.12167 Go to original source...
  73. Appendixes

This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License (CC BY NC ND 4.0), which permits non-comercial use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original publication is properly cited. No use, distribution or reproduction is permitted which does not comply with these terms.