Politická ekonomie 2023, 71(4):366-389 | DOI: 10.18267/j.polek.1387
Experimentální ověření platnosti Barrovy-Ricardovy ekvivalence
- a Vysoká škola ekonomická v Praze, Národohospodářská fakulta, Praha, Česká republika
- b University of New York in Prague, Praha, Česká republika
Experimental Verification of Barro-Ricardo Equivalence Theorem
The aim of this study is to verify the validity of Barro-Ricardo equivalence in Czech conditions with the help of experimental methods. Ricardian equivalence, in which case consumers postpone consumption under lower taxation, is a basic assumption of many studies dealing with intertemporal decision making and has important implications for government tax policy. Using nonparametric methods and panel data regression, we find that Ricardian equivalence does not hold in general. Our results suggest that taxation has a significant impact on consumption decisions. Over the life cycle, a tax cut increases consumption on average by 28.7% of the tax credit. Conversely, a tax increase causes a 27.8% increase in consumption on average. Using individual consumption time series, we find that approximately 70% of the tested individuals behave contrary to Ricardian equivalence. Our results show that a change in tax levels affects consumption in subsequent periods.
Keywords: Ricardian equivalence, consumption, taxation, laboratory experiment, life cycle
JEL classification: A13, B13, C32, E24, J21, J64
Received: October 21, 2022; Revised: January 13, 2023; Accepted: January 24, 2023; Prepublished online: August 14, 2024; Published: September 6, 2023 Show citation
References
- Adji, A., Alm, J., Ferraro, P. J. (2009). Experimental Tests of Ricardian Equivalence with Distortionary Versus Nondistortionary Taxes. Economics Bulletin, 29(4), 2556-2572.
- Ballinger, T. P., Palumbo, M. G., Wilcox, N. T. (2003). Precautionary Saving and Social Learning Across Generations: An Experiment. The Economic Journal, 113(490), 920-947, https://doi.org/10.1111/1468-0297.t01-1-00158
Go to original source...
- Barro, R. J. (1974). Are Government Bonds Net Wealth? Journal of Political Economy, 82(6), 1095-1117, https://doi.org/10.1086/260266
Go to original source...
- Barro, R. J. (1996). Reflections on Ricardian Equivalence. NBER Working Paper No. 5502.
Go to original source...
- Bernheim, B. D. (1987). Ricardian Equivalence: An Evaluation of Theory and Evidence. NBER Macroeconomics Annual, 2, 263-304, https://doi.org/10.1086/ma.2.4623723
Go to original source...
- Brown, A. L., Chua, Z. E., Camerer, C. F. (2009). Learning and Visceral Temptation in Dynamic Saving Experiments. Quarterly Journal of Economics, 124(1), 197-231, https://doi.org/10.1162/qjec.2009.124.1.197
Go to original source...
- Buchanan, J. (1976). Barro on the Ricardian Equivalence Theorem. Journal of Political Economy, 84(2), 337-342, https://doi.org/10.1086/260436
Go to original source...
- Cadsby, C. B., Frank, M. (1991). Experimental Tests of Ricardian Equivalence. Economic Inquiry, 29(4), 645-664.
Go to original source...
- Carbone, E., Hey, J. D. (2004). The Effect of Unemployment on Consumption: An Experimental Analysis. The Economic Journal, 114(497), 660-683, https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1468-0297.2004.00236.x
Go to original source...
- Di Laurea, D., Ricciuti, R. (2003). An Experimental Analysis of Two Departure from Ricardian Equivalence. Economics Bulletin, 8(11), 1-11.
- Duffy, J. (2011). Macroeconomics. A Survey of Laboratory Research. Chapter of the Handbook of Experimental Economics. Irvine: University of California, Department of Economics. Dostupné z: https://sites.socsci.uci.edu/~duffy/papers/DuffyHEEJune14.pdf
- Dvořák, P., Mandel, M. (1995) K typologii rozpočtových deficitů. Finance a úvěr, 45(11), 597-606.
- Esposito, L., Mastromatteo, G. (2019). Defaultnomics: Making Sense of the Barro-Ricardo Equivalence in a Financialized Word. Working Paper No. 933.
Go to original source...
- Fiala, P., Šauer, P. (2011). Aplikace kombinatorických aukcí na alokaci veřejných podpor v oblasti životního prostředí: ekonomický laboratorní experiment. Politická ekonomie, 59(3), 379-392, https://doi.org/10.18267/j.polek.797
Go to original source...
- Fischbacher, U., Bendick, K., Schmid, S. (2021). z-Tree - Zurich Toolbox for Ready made Economic Experiments. Zurich: Department of Economics, University of Zurich, https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s10683-006-9159-4
- Geiger, M., Luhan, W. J., Scharler, J. (2016). When Do Fiscal Consolidations Lead to Consumption Booms? Lessons from a Laboratory Experiment. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 69, 1-20, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jedc.2016.05.003
Go to original source...
- Luhan, W. J., Roos, M. W. M., Scharler, J. (2014). An Experiment on Consumption Responses to Future Price and Interest Rates. Experiments in Macroeconomics, 17, 139-166, https://doi.org/10.1108/S0193-230620140000017005
Go to original source...
- Mankiw, N. G. (2000). The Savers-Spenders Theory of Fiscal Policy. American Economic Review, 90(2), 120-125, https://doi.org/10.1257/aer.90.2.120
Go to original source...
- Meissner, T. (2013). Intertemporal Consumption and Debt Aversion: An Experimental Study. SFB 649 Discussion Paper No. 2013-045.
- Meissner, T., Rostam-Afschar, D. (2014). Do Tax Cuts Increase Consumption? An Experimental Test of Ricardian Equivalence. Discussion Paper No. 2014/16.
Go to original source...
- Meissner, T. (2016). Intertemporal Consumption and Debt Aversion: An Experimental Study. Experimental Economics, 19(2), 281-298, https://doi.org/10.1007/s10683-015-9437-0
Go to original source...
- Meissner, T., Rostam-Afschar, D. (2017). Learning Ricardian Equivalence. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 82, 273-288, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jedc.2017.07.004
Go to original source...
- Mertens, K., Ravn, O. M. (2013). The Dynamic Effects of Personal and Corporate Income Tax Changes in the United States. American Economic Review, 103(4), 1212-1247, https://doi.org/10.1257/aer.103.4.1212
Go to original source...
- Ricardo, D. (1951a). On the Principles of Political Economy and Taxation. In: Sraffa, P. The Works and Correspondence of David Ricardo, Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
- Ricardo, D. (1951b). Funding System. In: Sraffa, P. The Works and Correspondence of David Ricardo, Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
- Ricciuti, R., (2008). Bringing Macroeconomics into the Lab. Journal of Macroeconomics 30(1), 216-237, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jmacro.2006.06.001
Go to original source...
- Rostam-Afschar, D., Yao, J. (2017). Consumption Insurance, Welfare, and Optional Progressive Taxation. Fiscal Policy No. D07-V1.
- Seater, J. J. (1993). Ricardian Equivalence. Journal of Economic Literature, 31(1), 142-190.
- Shapiro, M. D., Slemrod, J. (2003). Consumer Response to Tax Rebates. American Economic Review, 93(1), 381-396, https://doi.org/10.1257/000282803321455368
Go to original source...
- Slate, S., McKee, M., Beck, W., et al. (1995). Testing Ricardian Equivalence under Uncertainty. Public Choice, 85(1-2), 11-29, https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01047899
Go to original source...
- Seater, J. J. (1993). Ricardian Equivalence. Journal of Economic Literature, 31(1), 142-190.
- Slate, S., McKee, M., Beck, W., Alm, J. (1995). Testing Ricardian Equivalence under Uncertainty. Public Choice, 85(1-2), 11-29.
Go to original source...
- Souleles, N. S. (1999). The Response of Household Consumption to Income Tax Refunds. American Economic Review, 89(4), 947-958, https://doi.org/10.1257/aer.89.4.947
Go to original source...
- Špalek, J., Špačková, Z. (2016). Daňové úniky v laboratoři: Vliv kontextu na ochotu platit daně. Politická ekonomie, 64(5), 524-540, http://doi.org/10.18267/j.polek.1086
Go to original source...
- Zeldes, S. P. (1989). Optimal Consumption with Stochastic Income: Deviations from Certainty Equivalence. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 104(2), 275-298.
Go to original source...
This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License (CC BY NC ND 4.0), which permits non-comercial use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original publication is properly cited. No use, distribution or reproduction is permitted which does not comply with these terms.