Politická ekonomie 2022, 70(4):477-499 | DOI: 10.18267/j.polek.1357
Relationship Between Energy Security and Economic Growth: A Bootstrap Panel Granger Causality Analysis
- a Niğde Ömer Halisdemir Üniversitesi, Niğde, Turkey
This study is aimed to examine the relationship causality between energy security and growth for a total of 74 countries including 39 high-income countries, 23 upper-middle-income countries, and 12 lower-middle-income countries by using the Kónya´s (Kónya, 2006) Bootstrap Panel Granger Causality approach. According to the results obtained, it has been determined unidirectional causality relationship from energy security risk level to GDP for 14 countries and from GDP to energy security risk level for 20 countries. On the other hand, there is bidirectional causality between energy security risk level and GDP for 22 countries, while there is no causality between energy security risk level and GDP for 18 countries. Moreover, the results are also demonstrated that the rate of detection of a causality relationship increases as one moves from high-income group countries to lower-middle-income group countries. The results, which evidence the existence of a relationship between energy security risk level and economic growth for many countries, reveal the importance of the policies to be implemented in this direction.
Keywords: Energy security; economic growth; energy economics; energy policy; boot-strap panel causality
Received: July 28, 2021; Revised: January 14, 2022; Accepted: March 25, 2022; Published: September 15, 2022 Show citation
References
- Ahmed, S. U., Ali, A., Kumar, D., Malik, M. Z., & Memon, A. H. (2019). China Pakistan Economic Corridor and Pakistan's energy security: A meta-analytic review. Energy Policy, 127, 147-154. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2018.12.003
Go to original source...
- Alley, I., Asekomeh, A., Mobolaji, H., & Adeniran, Y. A. (2014). Oil Price Shocks and Nigerian Economic Growth. European Scientific Journal, 10(19), 375-391.
- Aminjonov, F. (2016). Limitations of the central Asian energy security policy: Priorities and prospects for improvement (Issue Paper No: 103). Centre for International Governance Innovation.
- Balitskiy, S., Bilan, Y., & Strielkowski, W. (2014). Energy security and economic growth in the European Union. Journal of Security and Sustainability Isues, 4(2), 123-130. https://doi.org/10.9770/jssi.2014.4.2(2)
Go to original source...
- Bambawale, M. J., & Sovacool, B. K. (2011). China's energy security: The perspective of energy users. Applied Energy, 88(5), 1949-1956. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2010.12.016
Go to original source...
- Berument, M. H., Ceylan, N. B., Dogan, N., The, S., & Journal, E. (2016). The Impact of Oil Price Shocks on the Economic Growth of Selected MENA Countries. The Energy Journal, 31(1), 149-176.
Go to original source...
- Breusch, T. S., & Pagan, A. R. (1980). The Lagrange multiplier test and its applications to model specification in econometrics. The Review of Economic Studies, 47(1), 239-253.
Go to original source...
- Fang, D., Shi, S., & Yu, Q. (2018). Evaluation of sustainable energy security and an empirical analysis of China. Sustainability, 10(5), 1685. https://doi.org/10.3390/su10051685
Go to original source...
- Gasparatos, A., & Gadda, T. (2009). Environmental support, energy security and economic growth in Japan. Energy Policy, 37(10), 4038-4048. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2009.05.011
Go to original source...
- Global Energy Institute. (2018). International Index of Energy Security Risk 2018 Edition. [Retrieved 2019-01-27] available at: https://www.globalenergyinstitute.org/sites/default/files/2019-10/Final2018Index.pdf
- International Energy Agency. (2020). Energy security. [Retrieved 2020-06-08] available at: https://www.iea.org/topics/energy-security
- Kartal, G. (2018). Orta Doğu ülkelerinde politik istikrarsizlik, enerji güvenliği ve ekonomik büyüme ilişkisi. PhD. Diss., Nevşehir Haci Bektaş Veli University.
- Kartal, G. (2020). Politik istikrarsizlik ve enerji güvenliği ekseninde Orta Doğu ekonomileri. Hiperyayin.
- Kartal, G. (2022a). Enerji güvenliği ve ekonomik büyüme ilişkisi: Türk Dünyasi ülke panelinden kanitlar. Bilig, (101), 163-192. https://doi.org/10.12995/bilig.10107
Go to original source...
- Kartal, G. (2022b). The effects of positive and negative shocks in energy security on economic growth: Evidence from asymmetric causality analysis for Turkey. Economic Computation and Economic Cybernetics Studies and Research, 56(1), 223-239. https://doi.org/10.24818/18423264/56.1.22.14
Go to original source...
- Kartal, G. (2022c). Are the effects of energy security on economic growth symmetric or asymmetric in Turkey? An application of non-linear ARDL. Ege Academic Review, 22(4), 487-502. https://doi.org/10.21121/eab.952967
Go to original source...
- Kartal, G., & Öztürk, S. (2020). Politik istikrarsizlik, enerji güvenliği ve ekonomik büyüme ilişkisi: Orta Doğu Ülkeleri üzerine ampirik bir inceleme. Anemon Muş Alparslan Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi, 8(İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler), 65-78. https://doi.org/10.18506/anemon.629534
Go to original source...
- Kim, H., Shin, E., & Chung, W. (2011). Energy demand and supply, energy policies, and energy security in the Republic of Korea. Energy Policy, 39(11), 6882-6897. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2011.07.056
Go to original source...
- Kónya, L. (2006). Exports and growth: Granger causality analysis on OECD countries with a panel data approach. Economic Modelling, 23(6), 978-992. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econmod.2006.04.008
Go to original source...
- Kruyt, B., van Vuuren, D. P., de Vries, H. J. M., & Groenenberg, H. (2009). Indicators for energy security. Energy Policy, 37(6), 2166-2181. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2009.02.006
Go to original source...
- Le, T. H., & Nguyen, C. P. (2019). Is energy security a driver for economic growth? Evidence from a global sample. Energy Policy, 129, 436-451. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2019.02.038
Go to original source...
- Li, Y., Shi, X., & Yao, L. (2016). Evaluating energy security of resource-poor economies: A modified principle component analysis approach. Energy Economics, 58, 211-221. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eneco.2016.07.001
Go to original source...
- Nazlioğlu, Ş. (2021). TSPDLIB: GAUSS time series and panel data methods (Version 2.0). Aptech.
- Nepal, R., & Paija, N. (2019). Energy security, electricity, population and economic growth: The case of a developing South Asian resource-rich economy. Energy Policy, 132, 771-781. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2019.05.054
Go to original source...
- Pasqualetti, M. J., & Sovacool, B. K. (2012). The importance of scale to energy security. Journal of Integrative Environmental Sciences, 9(3), 167-180. https://doi.org/10.1080/1943815X.2012.691520
Go to original source...
- Pesaran, M. H. (2004). General diagnostic tests for cross section dependence in panels. CESifo Working Paper, No. 1229.
Go to original source...
- Pesaran, M. H., Ullah, A., & Yamagata, T. (2008). A bias-adjusted LM test of error cross-section independence. The Econometrics Journal, 11(1), 105-127. https://doi.org/10.1111/ j.1368-423X.2007.00227.x
Go to original source...
- Pesaran, M. H., & Yamagata, T. (2008). Testing slope homogeneity in large panels. Journal of Econometrics, 142(1), 50-93. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jeconom.2007.05.010
Go to original source...
- Song, Y., Zhang, M., & Sun, R. (2019). Using a new aggregated indicator to evaluate China's energy security. Energy Policy, 132, 167-174. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2019.05.036
Go to original source...
- Sovacool, B. K., & Mukherjee, I. (2011). Conceptualizing and measuring energy security: A synthesized approach. Energy, 36(8), 5343-5355. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2011.06.043
Go to original source...
- Stavytskyy, A., Kharlamova, G., Giedraitis, V., et al. (2018). Estimating the interrelation between energy security and macroeconomic factors in European countries. Journal of International Studies, 11(3), 217-238. https://doi.org/10.14254/2071-8330.2018/11-3/18
Go to original source...
- Varigonda, K. C. (2013). An assessment of the impact of energy insecurity on state stability in India. Energy Policy, 62, 1110-1119. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2013.06.091
Go to original source...
- Wang, Q., & Zhou, K. (2017). A framework for evaluating global national energy security. Applied Energy, 188, 19-31. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2016.11.116
Go to original source...
- World Bank (2020). World Development Indicators Database. Washington, D.C.: World Bank. [Retrieved 2020-08-06]. Available at: https://databank.worldbank.org/source/world-development-indicators
- Yao, L., & Chang, Y. (2014). Energy security in China: A quantitative analysis and policy implications. Energy Policy, 67, 595-604. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2013.12.047
Go to original source...
- Yao, L., Shi, X., & Andrews-Speed, P. (2018). Conceptualization of energy security in resource-poor economies: The role of the nature of economy. Energy Policy, 114, 394-402. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2017.12.029
Go to original source...
- Zhang, Z. (2011). China's energy security, the Malacca dilemma and responses. Energy Policy, 39(12), 7612-7615. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2011.09.033
Go to original source...
This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License (CC BY NC ND 4.0), which permits non-comercial use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original publication is properly cited. No use, distribution or reproduction is permitted which does not comply with these terms.