Politická ekonomie 2001, 49(1) | DOI: 10.18267/j.polek.200

Uživatelské bleskové odhady krátkodobých změn hrubého domácího produktu České republiky

Jaroslav Jílek, Miloš Vojta

Users flash estimates of the gross domestic product short-term changes of the Czech Republic

The total monthly change of the GDP in constant prices is estimated with the aid of the sectorial turnover indices in constant prices (Ii,T), lagged sectorial indices of the gross value added/turnover ratios (Ii,k), sectorial gross value added structure (wi) and corrective coefficient (kr,t-1). The presented model can be used even by non-statisticians, rendering the flash estimates at the same moment, when the latest sectorial turnover index is beeing published. The procedure applied for the Czech economy in the period April 1999 to July 2000 is illustrated both by Tables and Figures, where the comparison with the official quarterly estimates, which are published aproximately four-five weeks later, is shown.

Keywords: gross domestic product, flash estimate, monthly change, turnover indices, corrective coefficient

Published: February 1, 2001  Show citation

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Jílek, J., & Vojta, M. (2001). Users flash estimates of the gross domestic product short-term changes of the Czech Republic. Politická ekonomie49(1), . doi: 10.18267/j.polek.200
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